1 00:00:00,440 --> 00:00:02,662 Good morning ladies and gentlemen , I'm 2 00:00:02,662 --> 00:00:04,662 Dave Deptula , FAA . Is dean of the 3 00:00:04,662 --> 00:00:06,496 Mitchell Institute for Aerospace 4 00:00:06,496 --> 00:00:08,980 Studies and welcome to the next event 5 00:00:08,990 --> 00:00:11,460 in our nuclear deterrent forum series . 6 00:00:11,940 --> 00:00:14,107 We are extremely fortunate and pleased 7 00:00:14,107 --> 00:00:16,273 to have you joining us today . Admiral 8 00:00:16,273 --> 00:00:18,496 Charles chasse . Richard , Commander of 9 00:00:18,496 --> 00:00:21,140 US Strategic Command Before taking the 10 00:00:21,140 --> 00:00:24,450 helm at Stratcom in November 2019 . 11 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:26,896 Admiral Richard held a number of key 12 00:00:26,896 --> 00:00:29,290 leadership roles . He was Commander of 13 00:00:29,290 --> 00:00:31,760 submarine forces in Norfolk Virginia . 14 00:00:32,140 --> 00:00:34,060 Deputy Commander of US Strategic 15 00:00:34,060 --> 00:00:36,580 Command , Director of undersea warfare 16 00:00:36,580 --> 00:00:39,190 at the pentagon and Deputy commander of 17 00:00:39,190 --> 00:00:41,357 the joint functional component Command 18 00:00:41,357 --> 00:00:43,523 for Global strike at U . S . Strategic 19 00:00:43,523 --> 00:00:45,860 Command . He's also worked in the 20 00:00:45,860 --> 00:00:47,971 offices of the Under Secretary of the 21 00:00:47,971 --> 00:00:50,138 Navy and the undersecretary of Defense 22 00:00:50,138 --> 00:00:52,630 for Policy . I think as most of you 23 00:00:52,630 --> 00:00:54,850 recognize that stratcom . Admiral 24 00:00:54,850 --> 00:00:57,760 Richard is responsible for overseeing 25 00:00:57,770 --> 00:01:00,910 the global command and control of all U . 26 00:01:00,910 --> 00:01:03,140 S . Strategic forces to meet our 27 00:01:03,140 --> 00:01:04,918 national security objectives by 28 00:01:04,918 --> 00:01:07,140 providing a broad range of capabilities 29 00:01:07,140 --> 00:01:09,251 and options for the President and the 30 00:01:09,251 --> 00:01:11,520 Secretary of Defense . So welcome 31 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:13,520 Admiral . It's really a pleasure to 32 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:15,576 have you with us today . I'd like to 33 00:01:15,576 --> 00:01:17,576 start our session by giving you the 34 00:01:17,576 --> 00:01:19,409 opportunity to make some opening 35 00:01:19,409 --> 00:01:21,520 remarks on the current priorities and 36 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:23,687 issues that are confronting you at U . 37 00:01:23,687 --> 00:01:25,800 S . Strategic Command . So with that 38 00:01:25,810 --> 00:01:28,250 over to you . Admiral General thank you 39 00:01:28,250 --> 00:01:32,150 sir . Good morning to you everyone else 40 00:01:32,150 --> 00:01:34,261 on the net and thanks to the Mitchell 41 00:01:34,261 --> 00:01:35,928 institute for providing me an 42 00:01:35,928 --> 00:01:38,039 opportunity to have what I think is a 43 00:01:38,039 --> 00:01:40,206 very important conversation here . The 44 00:01:40,206 --> 00:01:42,480 I want to start off with an assertion . 45 00:01:42,490 --> 00:01:45,040 Uh and then we'll , y'all keep oclock 46 00:01:45,040 --> 00:01:47,262 on me , I may run a little bit long and 47 00:01:47,262 --> 00:01:49,484 I don't want to take all the time . You 48 00:01:49,484 --> 00:01:52,840 want the timing on this . Um but I 49 00:01:52,850 --> 00:01:54,961 assert that the United States and the 50 00:01:54,961 --> 00:01:57,160 Department of Defense have not had to 51 00:01:57,160 --> 00:02:00,890 consider The full implications of 52 00:02:00,890 --> 00:02:03,420 competition through possible crisis and 53 00:02:03,420 --> 00:02:05,940 possible armed conflict with a nuclear 54 00:02:05,940 --> 00:02:09,240 capable peer adversary in close to 30 55 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:11,980 years . And when you think about that , 56 00:02:11,990 --> 00:02:14,560 the implications to every single thing 57 00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:17,250 we do in the department are profound . 58 00:02:17,540 --> 00:02:20,760 Uh and we are , we have a good strategy 59 00:02:20,770 --> 00:02:22,937 to go address that situation . We have 60 00:02:22,937 --> 00:02:25,103 fabulous leadership from the Secretary 61 00:02:25,103 --> 00:02:27,710 of Defense Secretary esper and Chairman 62 00:02:27,710 --> 00:02:29,877 Milley , they have made it quite clear 63 00:02:29,877 --> 00:02:31,988 to us in the department how they want 64 00:02:31,988 --> 00:02:34,210 us to go attack that . And we're moving 65 00:02:34,210 --> 00:02:36,432 out at planks speed to go do that . But 66 00:02:36,432 --> 00:02:38,432 it is important to recognize things 67 00:02:38,432 --> 00:02:41,180 have changed . Um and part of that , 68 00:02:41,180 --> 00:02:42,800 there's a couple of defining 69 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:45,133 characteristics , right ? You can write , 70 00:02:45,133 --> 00:02:47,530 I am in great power competition six 71 00:02:47,530 --> 00:02:49,586 times on your work college paper and 72 00:02:49,586 --> 00:02:51,697 you're probably going to get a beat . 73 00:02:51,697 --> 00:02:53,863 Right ? But you have to do the work in 74 00:02:53,863 --> 00:02:55,808 terms of what does that mean ? One 75 00:02:55,808 --> 00:02:57,863 thing it means is it all starts with 76 00:02:57,863 --> 00:02:59,919 the threat , right ? We used to know 77 00:02:59,919 --> 00:03:02,086 how to operate in a threat based world 78 00:03:02,086 --> 00:03:03,919 that was the Cold War and we did 79 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:06,030 business very differently back then . 80 00:03:06,030 --> 00:03:08,030 We're not in that again , but we're 81 00:03:08,030 --> 00:03:10,210 coming out of a capabilities based 82 00:03:10,210 --> 00:03:12,377 world . Right ? So we have to get back 83 00:03:12,377 --> 00:03:15,300 to the idea that all domains are gonna 84 00:03:15,300 --> 00:03:18,310 be challenged right ? That uh that 85 00:03:18,310 --> 00:03:20,810 strategic deterrence which has always 86 00:03:20,810 --> 00:03:23,510 been fundamental foundational to the 87 00:03:23,510 --> 00:03:25,621 rest of the defense strategy and what 88 00:03:25,621 --> 00:03:28,010 the department does is going to get 89 00:03:28,010 --> 00:03:30,050 tested in ways that it hasn't been 90 00:03:30,050 --> 00:03:32,280 tested before . We need to be ready to 91 00:03:32,280 --> 00:03:34,550 answer that bell look , I'll run 92 00:03:34,550 --> 00:03:36,661 through this pretty quickly . I think 93 00:03:36,661 --> 00:03:38,828 we'll get into it some more in the Q . 94 00:03:38,828 --> 00:03:41,460 And A . But the threat is significant . 95 00:03:41,470 --> 00:03:43,248 I'm only going to highlight the 96 00:03:43,248 --> 00:03:45,192 strategic forces a piece of this . 97 00:03:45,192 --> 00:03:47,303 Remember strategic deterrence is more 98 00:03:47,303 --> 00:03:48,914 than just nuclear deterrence 99 00:03:48,914 --> 00:03:51,120 particularly now today it is non 100 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:53,640 kinetic space cyber , it is your 101 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:55,790 conventional piece of this . All of 102 00:03:55,790 --> 00:03:57,846 this has to be integrated together . 103 00:03:57,846 --> 00:04:00,150 It's not just a stratcom job , it is 104 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:02,390 all combatant commands and we have to 105 00:04:02,390 --> 00:04:04,270 be able to rethink the way we do 106 00:04:04,270 --> 00:04:07,800 business real quick Russia . Uh bottom 107 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:10,070 line is it's easier for me to tell you 108 00:04:10,070 --> 00:04:12,270 what they're not modernizing Than to 109 00:04:12,270 --> 00:04:14,910 tell you what they are . It's basically 110 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:17,300 everything they've been at it now . 111 00:04:17,310 --> 00:04:20,180 Well over 15 years . Um they're all 112 00:04:20,180 --> 00:04:23,500 there's 70% complete . It's every 113 00:04:23,500 --> 00:04:25,850 element of their forces . But it's more 114 00:04:25,850 --> 00:04:27,628 than that , right ? It is their 115 00:04:27,628 --> 00:04:29,906 complete control . It is their warning , 116 00:04:29,906 --> 00:04:31,850 it is their doctrine , it is their 117 00:04:31,850 --> 00:04:34,017 exercises , it is their readiness . It 118 00:04:34,017 --> 00:04:36,350 isn't across the board step change in 119 00:04:36,350 --> 00:04:38,294 the ability of what they can their 120 00:04:38,294 --> 00:04:40,517 capabilities and what they can threaten 121 00:04:40,517 --> 00:04:42,540 us with . Um I wanna , let me talk 122 00:04:42,540 --> 00:04:44,660 about china may be a little bit more 123 00:04:44,660 --> 00:04:48,460 than I have in the past . Um with china 124 00:04:49,140 --> 00:04:52,800 it is very important I think look at 125 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:55,430 what they do , not what they say . I 126 00:04:55,430 --> 00:04:57,541 think Secretary Pompeo just said that 127 00:04:57,541 --> 00:04:59,819 recently , I think he's spot on target . 128 00:04:59,819 --> 00:05:02,041 We have come to the same conclusion and 129 00:05:02,041 --> 00:05:04,152 again I'm going to talk strategic but 130 00:05:04,152 --> 00:05:05,819 it starts with actually their 131 00:05:05,819 --> 00:05:08,920 breathtaking expansion in all other 132 00:05:08,930 --> 00:05:12,020 military capabilities . Right ? They It 133 00:05:12,020 --> 00:05:14,780 has been near stunning . They always go 134 00:05:14,780 --> 00:05:17,090 faster than we do . One of my favorite 135 00:05:17,090 --> 00:05:19,257 kind of recent examples is they didn't 136 00:05:19,257 --> 00:05:21,490 have a coast guard until like 2013 or 137 00:05:21,490 --> 00:05:23,379 something right now . They're not 138 00:05:23,379 --> 00:05:25,490 exactly like us . Um but they decided 139 00:05:25,500 --> 00:05:27,940 in 2013 we need a coast guard Today . 140 00:05:27,940 --> 00:05:30,740 They have 255 coast guard ships , right ? 141 00:05:30,740 --> 00:05:32,796 It is just stunning what they did by 142 00:05:32,796 --> 00:05:34,962 the way , that is a perfect instrument 143 00:05:34,962 --> 00:05:36,907 when you're engaged in competition 144 00:05:36,907 --> 00:05:39,073 below the threshold of armed conflicts 145 00:05:39,073 --> 00:05:41,190 sometimes known as the gray zone . Uh 146 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:43,950 But now nuclear strategic is just the 147 00:05:43,950 --> 00:05:45,894 next thing on china's to do list . 148 00:05:45,894 --> 00:05:47,894 Right ? So they are about to finish 149 00:05:47,894 --> 00:05:49,839 building out for the first time on 150 00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:51,783 actual triad by adding a strategic 151 00:05:51,783 --> 00:05:54,330 capability to their ehrlich . They too 152 00:05:54,330 --> 00:05:57,800 have new road mobile new silo based um 153 00:05:57,810 --> 00:05:59,866 much better capabilities that can go 154 00:05:59,866 --> 00:06:01,970 into a lot of detail . They have new 155 00:06:01,970 --> 00:06:03,970 command and control . They have new 156 00:06:03,970 --> 00:06:06,137 warning . They have better readiness . 157 00:06:06,137 --> 00:06:08,330 And while they espouse a minimum 158 00:06:08,330 --> 00:06:10,670 deterrent strategy they have a number 159 00:06:10,670 --> 00:06:12,837 of capabilities that seem inconsistent 160 00:06:12,837 --> 00:06:15,450 with that . And in regards to what they 161 00:06:15,450 --> 00:06:17,617 say they certainly have the capability 162 00:06:17,617 --> 00:06:21,050 to uh huh execute any number of 163 00:06:21,060 --> 00:06:23,500 strategic employment strategies not 164 00:06:23,500 --> 00:06:26,020 just the minimum deterrence . So in the 165 00:06:26,020 --> 00:06:29,330 face of that we're gonna have to change 166 00:06:29,330 --> 00:06:31,330 the way we think about deterrence . 167 00:06:31,330 --> 00:06:34,030 Right . The basic equation in 168 00:06:34,030 --> 00:06:36,141 deterrence has not changed . Right go 169 00:06:36,141 --> 00:06:38,460 back reader con readership concealing 170 00:06:38,530 --> 00:06:42,000 the can I deny credibly deny benefit or 171 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:44,222 and impose a cost which is greater than 172 00:06:44,222 --> 00:06:46,350 what the competitor's seeks to gain . 173 00:06:46,540 --> 00:06:48,880 It's just how you apply . That has 174 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:51,950 changed . Uh and I'll just very quickly 175 00:06:51,960 --> 00:06:55,350 um it's the dynamics associated with 176 00:06:55,350 --> 00:06:57,970 the use or potential use of force . 177 00:06:57,980 --> 00:07:00,300 Those are changing and we're working 178 00:07:00,300 --> 00:07:03,320 very hard to understand that a good 179 00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:06,610 example is um china is on a 180 00:07:06,610 --> 00:07:10,380 trajectory to be a strategic period to 181 00:07:10,380 --> 00:07:13,120 us by the end of the decade . So for 182 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:15,064 the first time ever the U . S . Is 183 00:07:15,064 --> 00:07:18,420 going to face to peer capable nuclear 184 00:07:18,420 --> 00:07:20,890 competitors who are different who you 185 00:07:20,890 --> 00:07:23,080 have to deter differently . We have 186 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:25,570 never faced that situation before . We 187 00:07:25,570 --> 00:07:27,626 are working very hard to strike home 188 00:07:27,626 --> 00:07:29,960 along with the broader joint force uh 189 00:07:29,970 --> 00:07:32,840 to understand that this is all couples 190 00:07:32,850 --> 00:07:35,183 I guess would be my biggest point right . 191 00:07:35,183 --> 00:07:37,128 What you're doing strategically is 192 00:07:37,128 --> 00:07:38,906 influenced by what you're doing 193 00:07:38,906 --> 00:07:41,128 conventionally and it walks all the way 194 00:07:41,128 --> 00:07:43,128 down into the gray zone , the level 195 00:07:43,128 --> 00:07:45,350 below the threshold of armed conflict , 196 00:07:45,350 --> 00:07:47,461 it is not linear . Um , the idea that 197 00:07:47,461 --> 00:07:49,350 there is a ladder here I think is 198 00:07:49,350 --> 00:07:51,406 flawed . It is nonlinear . There are 199 00:07:51,406 --> 00:07:53,860 discontinuities and there are points 200 00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:57,170 where a competitors , decision calculus 201 00:07:57,170 --> 00:08:00,640 may flip very rapidly on you based on 202 00:08:00,650 --> 00:08:02,872 events , particularly inside a crisis . 203 00:08:02,872 --> 00:08:05,094 We're working to understand that and be 204 00:08:05,094 --> 00:08:07,039 able to have a shared vision of it 205 00:08:07,039 --> 00:08:09,206 inside the joint force . Just a couple 206 00:08:09,206 --> 00:08:11,206 more points sir and the rest of the 207 00:08:11,206 --> 00:08:13,261 audience and we can get into some of 208 00:08:13,261 --> 00:08:15,428 the questions . Um the uh , so what do 209 00:08:15,428 --> 00:08:17,539 you do about that ? Once you're gonna 210 00:08:17,539 --> 00:08:19,483 have a triad that I have to have a 211 00:08:19,483 --> 00:08:22,040 triad , a number of the modest 212 00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:24,040 supplemental capabilities that were 213 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:26,620 requested to give me the capability and 214 00:08:26,620 --> 00:08:28,440 the flexibility to address the 215 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:30,770 situation that I just described . I 216 00:08:30,780 --> 00:08:32,990 think you'd be proud of us that that 217 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:35,940 throughout covid 19 and all the impacts 218 00:08:35,940 --> 00:08:38,290 of worldwide pandemic stratcom did not 219 00:08:38,290 --> 00:08:40,680 miss a beat . We remained fully mission 220 00:08:40,680 --> 00:08:43,850 capable throughout a real credit to 221 00:08:43,860 --> 00:08:47,400 the General Ray . Uh Admiral Grady , 222 00:08:47,410 --> 00:08:51,320 General car blur and others who saw the 223 00:08:51,330 --> 00:08:54,080 threat executed and updated plans that 224 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:56,080 we had and able to operate straight 225 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:58,410 through . But I'll make one more point . 226 00:08:58,420 --> 00:09:01,640 We move into some questions . We have a 227 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:04,520 triad and the capabilities that we have 228 00:09:04,530 --> 00:09:06,780 in part because of the flexibility it 229 00:09:06,780 --> 00:09:10,310 provides the ability to hedge inside of 230 00:09:10,310 --> 00:09:12,370 it . Right ? So that for an issue in 231 00:09:12,370 --> 00:09:14,426 one piece , we're able to compensate 232 00:09:14,426 --> 00:09:16,648 with the others as part of the original 233 00:09:16,648 --> 00:09:18,814 brilliance in the design . But what it 234 00:09:18,814 --> 00:09:20,930 also enables you to do is address the 235 00:09:20,930 --> 00:09:22,990 threat or the risk you didn't see 236 00:09:22,990 --> 00:09:25,980 coming . We have to be very humble when 237 00:09:25,980 --> 00:09:28,147 we look over a long term , in terms of 238 00:09:28,147 --> 00:09:30,036 what we think we're gonna need to 239 00:09:30,036 --> 00:09:31,758 defend ourselves , that we can 240 00:09:31,758 --> 00:09:34,360 accurately predict every single 241 00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:36,360 situation or contingency that we're 242 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:39,100 gonna be faced with . We always built 243 00:09:39,100 --> 00:09:41,310 margin into our strategic forces to 244 00:09:41,310 --> 00:09:43,532 make sure that we could account for the 245 00:09:43,532 --> 00:09:45,699 unknown risks that may be out there on 246 00:09:45,699 --> 00:09:47,910 alongside the risk that we could 247 00:09:47,910 --> 00:09:49,800 reasonably see coming . I think 248 00:09:49,800 --> 00:09:53,270 COVID-19 is a great example of where 249 00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:55,590 things can manifest that you don't see 250 00:09:55,590 --> 00:09:57,701 coming . And with this commission set 251 00:09:57,701 --> 00:09:59,701 because of the consequences , it is 252 00:09:59,701 --> 00:10:01,830 important to have margin ready to 253 00:10:01,830 --> 00:10:04,870 handle that . My predecessors gave me 254 00:10:04,870 --> 00:10:06,870 that margin that enabled me to work 255 00:10:06,870 --> 00:10:09,190 through COVID-19 . I think we as a 256 00:10:09,190 --> 00:10:11,980 nation , uh should learn from that wise 257 00:10:11,980 --> 00:10:14,147 lesson in terms of our decisions going 258 00:10:14,147 --> 00:10:16,369 forward . David got a lot more stuff to 259 00:10:16,369 --> 00:10:18,480 talk about , but I'll just stop there 260 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:20,424 in the interest of time and we can 261 00:10:20,424 --> 00:10:22,424 start getting into some questions . 262 00:10:22,424 --> 00:10:24,536 Well , thanks very much , Admiral for 263 00:10:24,536 --> 00:10:26,647 that great overview of where stratcom 264 00:10:26,647 --> 00:10:29,250 is today and some of your concerns . So 265 00:10:29,250 --> 00:10:31,472 let's jump right into these issues in a 266 00:10:31,472 --> 00:10:35,420 bit more detail . Excuse me . Um You 267 00:10:35,420 --> 00:10:37,760 laid out very nicely , very succinctly . 268 00:10:38,140 --> 00:10:42,030 Um both Russia and china's efforts 269 00:10:42,040 --> 00:10:45,060 in uh not efforts but accomplishments 270 00:10:45,540 --> 00:10:47,318 in modernizing diversifying and 271 00:10:47,318 --> 00:10:49,429 expanding both their conventional and 272 00:10:49,429 --> 00:10:53,080 nuclear forces amongst those could you 273 00:10:53,210 --> 00:10:56,470 share with us a bit ? Um what 274 00:10:56,480 --> 00:10:59,310 aspects of their modernization programs 275 00:10:59,320 --> 00:11:02,600 that you find most concerning ? Hey , 276 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:05,580 so what I would offer for both of them 277 00:11:05,590 --> 00:11:08,170 is not any one aspect of it . It's the 278 00:11:08,170 --> 00:11:11,010 comprehensive nature of what they're 279 00:11:11,010 --> 00:11:14,080 doing . It is the totality of of what 280 00:11:14,080 --> 00:11:16,990 they're doing . Um So when you add it 281 00:11:16,990 --> 00:11:19,630 all up and then couple it with their 282 00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:22,420 actions , right ? We we see aggressive 283 00:11:22,430 --> 00:11:25,710 action around the world by both of them . 284 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:29,580 Um that that concerns me uh that that 285 00:11:29,590 --> 00:11:32,740 we are not converging on a path that I 286 00:11:32,740 --> 00:11:34,930 think is beneficial to the world . So 287 00:11:34,930 --> 00:11:37,040 it is a combination . And I would go 288 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:39,530 back to , we have to broaden our 289 00:11:39,530 --> 00:11:42,460 thinking between a simple weapons count , 290 00:11:42,540 --> 00:11:45,060 right ? It is much more complicated in 291 00:11:45,060 --> 00:11:48,920 that in terms of what someone can do . 292 00:11:48,930 --> 00:11:52,390 And I think another key piece here is 293 00:11:52,400 --> 00:11:55,430 that this with strategic , with the 294 00:11:55,430 --> 00:11:57,374 weapons systems that we're talking 295 00:11:57,374 --> 00:12:00,290 about , it is merely the threat of 296 00:12:00,290 --> 00:12:02,123 their use that will accomplish a 297 00:12:02,123 --> 00:12:04,290 political aim . It is a characteristic 298 00:12:04,290 --> 00:12:06,500 that is really not matched by 299 00:12:06,500 --> 00:12:08,722 conventional forces at least not to the 300 00:12:08,722 --> 00:12:11,230 same magnitude and and I don't think we 301 00:12:11,230 --> 00:12:14,880 we respect what um uh could be 302 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:17,990 done simply by merely threatening the 303 00:12:17,990 --> 00:12:20,157 use of these weapons systems ? And are 304 00:12:20,157 --> 00:12:22,268 we fluent in our ability to deter and 305 00:12:22,268 --> 00:12:24,910 respond to that ? Very good . One of 306 00:12:24,910 --> 00:12:27,130 the other points that you made that I 307 00:12:27,130 --> 00:12:30,470 think was uh probably got a lot of 308 00:12:30,470 --> 00:12:33,960 people's attention is sort of the 309 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:36,740 it's not the changing nature of 310 00:12:36,740 --> 00:12:38,684 deterrence because it continues to 311 00:12:38,684 --> 00:12:41,360 serve as a , as a bedrock of 312 00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:44,750 our national security architecture . 313 00:12:45,240 --> 00:12:48,470 However , in many respects , Nuclear 314 00:12:48,470 --> 00:12:50,692 deterrence in the 21st century is a bit 315 00:12:50,692 --> 00:12:52,803 different than it was in the previous 316 00:12:52,803 --> 00:12:55,026 century . I mean , you highlighted with 317 00:12:55,026 --> 00:12:56,914 the principal Challenges that the 318 00:12:56,914 --> 00:12:59,026 Chinese are going to come up to speed 319 00:12:59,026 --> 00:13:01,720 here real quickly and by 2030 we're 320 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:03,910 gonna be facing to pure competitors in 321 00:13:03,910 --> 00:13:05,910 the nuclear regime . Are there some 322 00:13:05,910 --> 00:13:09,550 other key differences out there that 323 00:13:09,550 --> 00:13:11,606 that concern you and what should the 324 00:13:11,606 --> 00:13:13,830 United States due to adapt to these 325 00:13:13,830 --> 00:13:17,600 changing circumstances ? Well , you 326 00:13:17,600 --> 00:13:21,540 hit on a big one , which is even in 327 00:13:21,540 --> 00:13:23,930 my own explanation , sometimes it is 328 00:13:23,940 --> 00:13:26,510 attempting to simplify this to a two 329 00:13:26,510 --> 00:13:29,600 party problem and it is not , it is a 330 00:13:29,610 --> 00:13:32,160 three and actually broader than that 331 00:13:32,170 --> 00:13:34,710 piece . Another one that I'm under 332 00:13:34,710 --> 00:13:36,990 emphasizing here a little bit is I'm 333 00:13:36,990 --> 00:13:39,046 very proud of this nation's extended 334 00:13:39,046 --> 00:13:41,101 deterrence and assurance commitments 335 00:13:41,101 --> 00:13:43,268 that we have made , right ? And how we 336 00:13:43,268 --> 00:13:46,130 will handle honoring those against this 337 00:13:46,130 --> 00:13:48,930 type of future that we're in , I think 338 00:13:48,930 --> 00:13:51,041 is something that we need to continue 339 00:13:51,041 --> 00:13:55,010 to work the understanding uh 340 00:13:55,020 --> 00:13:58,500 in great detail these the relationships 341 00:13:58,510 --> 00:14:00,920 uh and how do you bring in space ? How 342 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:03,010 do you bring in cyber right . What 343 00:14:03,010 --> 00:14:05,470 would constitute a strategic attack in 344 00:14:05,470 --> 00:14:08,600 space or cyber thinking through all of 345 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:11,480 the dimensions of this ? Um how how 346 00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:13,702 does this all couple back down into the 347 00:14:13,702 --> 00:14:15,813 gray zone ? I'm giving you a bunch of 348 00:14:15,813 --> 00:14:18,036 the theoretical pieces of this . That's 349 00:14:18,036 --> 00:14:20,147 the foundation piece and then we move 350 00:14:20,147 --> 00:14:23,260 on from there . Thank you . Now , 351 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:26,007 getting down in a little bit of detail 352 00:14:26,007 --> 00:14:28,290 about some programs specifics , Both 353 00:14:28,290 --> 00:14:30,512 the House and the Senate Armed Services 354 00:14:30,512 --> 00:14:34,120 Committee markups of the 21 . Nd a 355 00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:36,710 fully funded the ground based strategic 356 00:14:36,710 --> 00:14:39,240 deterrent program which is intended to 357 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:41,710 replace the Minuteman three I C . B . M . 358 00:14:41,710 --> 00:14:45,160 S . Um Why is this program critical 359 00:14:45,540 --> 00:14:48,150 and what are the potential implications 360 00:14:48,160 --> 00:14:51,230 of any further delays or even a 361 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:55,130 cancelation as some have advocated for 362 00:14:55,140 --> 00:14:58,200 both in terms of cost and our overall 363 00:14:58,210 --> 00:15:01,320 nuclear deterrent posture ? Well sir , 364 00:15:01,330 --> 00:15:04,370 one I almost wish we didn't describe 365 00:15:04,370 --> 00:15:06,990 the triad by the weapons systems that 366 00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:09,960 it is made of . It is you we describe 367 00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:12,182 it in terms of the attributes . Right ? 368 00:15:12,182 --> 00:15:16,030 So if you um take away the I . C . Leg . 369 00:15:16,030 --> 00:15:18,086 In fact , if you take away any leg , 370 00:15:18,086 --> 00:15:20,086 I'd give you a different version of 371 00:15:20,086 --> 00:15:22,980 this . You just took away a stack of 372 00:15:22,990 --> 00:15:26,010 attributes that we have found useful in 373 00:15:26,010 --> 00:15:28,066 the past and see being useful in the 374 00:15:28,066 --> 00:15:30,420 future . Can I compensate in some 375 00:15:30,420 --> 00:15:32,430 respects by coming across and using 376 00:15:32,430 --> 00:15:35,020 other elements of the triad ? Yes but 377 00:15:35,020 --> 00:15:37,240 not with those same attributes ? Which 378 00:15:37,240 --> 00:15:39,990 means you just narrowed the range of 379 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:42,740 situations that were able to 380 00:15:42,750 --> 00:15:45,340 effectively deter . You just took away 381 00:15:45,350 --> 00:15:48,800 a future hedging capability . Um And on 382 00:15:48,800 --> 00:15:51,133 top of you you were talking about the I . 383 00:15:51,133 --> 00:15:54,010 C . Specifically um one of the best 384 00:15:54,010 --> 00:15:56,232 things I think you could do if you want 385 00:15:56,232 --> 00:15:58,232 to accelerate china becoming appear 386 00:15:58,232 --> 00:16:00,343 with us strategically is to take away 387 00:16:00,343 --> 00:16:02,399 the I see like because you just made 388 00:16:02,399 --> 00:16:04,510 their problem a lot easier . So I can 389 00:16:04,510 --> 00:16:06,940 kind of go piece by piece down the 390 00:16:06,950 --> 00:16:10,120 triad and show you that that if you 391 00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:12,220 take a piece of it away , that's a 392 00:16:12,220 --> 00:16:14,330 stack of capabilities and attributes 393 00:16:14,330 --> 00:16:16,660 that I have don't have . That's gonna 394 00:16:16,660 --> 00:16:18,650 make it that much harder for me to 395 00:16:18,650 --> 00:16:21,140 execute the policy of this nation is 396 00:16:21,140 --> 00:16:23,570 documenting the nuclear posture review . 397 00:16:23,580 --> 00:16:25,802 And if you go far enough I'm gonna have 398 00:16:25,802 --> 00:16:27,360 to ask for a new policy . 399 00:16:30,140 --> 00:16:33,610 Okay . Very good . Um It is a 400 00:16:33,610 --> 00:16:36,220 complex subject on one hand . On the 401 00:16:36,220 --> 00:16:39,120 other hand it's pretty simple . Uh And 402 00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:42,900 they try at his citizen in in 403 00:16:42,900 --> 00:16:46,210 good stead since it came into existence . 404 00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:49,207 Um when I had the opportunity to speak 405 00:16:49,207 --> 00:16:51,373 to General Ray on this series a couple 406 00:16:51,373 --> 00:16:53,429 of weeks ago , he mentioned that the 407 00:16:53,429 --> 00:16:55,920 long range standoff weapon or L . R . S . 408 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:58,690 O . For short is critical uh to 409 00:16:58,690 --> 00:17:00,801 maintain tailored deterrence to reach 410 00:17:00,801 --> 00:17:03,880 any target around the globe . Um And if 411 00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:05,880 there's a point in time when legacy 412 00:17:05,880 --> 00:17:08,710 weapons um simply won't be Survivable 413 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:10,680 bowl against modern air defenses . 414 00:17:10,690 --> 00:17:12,412 What's your perspective on the 415 00:17:12,412 --> 00:17:15,390 implications of any delays or trunk 416 00:17:15,390 --> 00:17:18,680 ations of the LRS Oh program . And are 417 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:20,736 there any benefits from accelerating 418 00:17:20,736 --> 00:17:24,300 the program ? So the is spot on target 419 00:17:24,310 --> 00:17:27,690 in terms of the the implications of not 420 00:17:27,690 --> 00:17:29,634 having that weapon system and then 421 00:17:29,634 --> 00:17:31,801 fundamentally it will start to call in 422 00:17:31,801 --> 00:17:34,460 uh , it will limit the flexibility and 423 00:17:34,460 --> 00:17:36,970 the viability of your airlink right ? 424 00:17:36,970 --> 00:17:39,180 Which is a key component inside the 425 00:17:39,180 --> 00:17:41,710 triad . I think if you go back and and 426 00:17:41,710 --> 00:17:44,970 we have repeatedly shown in history 427 00:17:44,980 --> 00:17:46,758 that when you're in great power 428 00:17:46,758 --> 00:17:49,580 competition , what you want our bombers 429 00:17:49,590 --> 00:17:51,868 right that you want the range you want , 430 00:17:51,868 --> 00:17:53,701 the payload . They're incredibly 431 00:17:53,701 --> 00:17:55,868 flexible for you . Today's world is no 432 00:17:55,868 --> 00:17:57,757 different . You have to honor the 433 00:17:57,757 --> 00:18:00,390 threat . That's why you get into the 434 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:02,420 need for the LRS . So that specific 435 00:18:02,420 --> 00:18:04,420 piece of technology , I mean if I I 436 00:18:04,420 --> 00:18:08,350 don't have an LRS . So then the B 50 437 00:18:08,350 --> 00:18:10,520 two's are just not very useful at that 438 00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:12,687 point and we're counting on them for a 439 00:18:12,687 --> 00:18:15,080 while now is the acceleration on LRS . 440 00:18:15,080 --> 00:18:18,260 So look , I take it all tomorrow if you 441 00:18:18,270 --> 00:18:20,360 if we could get it to me right and I 442 00:18:20,360 --> 00:18:22,416 say that not really being flippantly 443 00:18:22,416 --> 00:18:24,490 remember , I am responsible to the 444 00:18:24,490 --> 00:18:26,980 people of this nation for their defense . 445 00:18:26,990 --> 00:18:29,060 And I take that and my command takes 446 00:18:29,060 --> 00:18:31,060 that very seriously , the better 447 00:18:31,060 --> 00:18:33,004 capability I have to do that , the 448 00:18:33,004 --> 00:18:35,580 better job I can do that . But I would 449 00:18:35,590 --> 00:18:37,820 phrase that question in terms of at 450 00:18:37,820 --> 00:18:39,764 what cost , Right ? If there was a 451 00:18:39,764 --> 00:18:42,380 trade off that had to be made , I would 452 00:18:42,380 --> 00:18:44,840 want to make sure I understood what 453 00:18:44,840 --> 00:18:47,590 what I was given up for that . So LRS 454 00:18:47,590 --> 00:18:50,160 so just keep it on time . Right . If we 455 00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:52,800 just keep it on time , uh that will 456 00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:56,710 work very good . Now , moving 457 00:18:56,710 --> 00:19:00,650 on to the other leg , there are nuclear 458 00:19:00,660 --> 00:19:03,280 capable submarine leg . SSB ends are 459 00:19:03,280 --> 00:19:05,270 often perceived as invulnerable . 460 00:19:05,840 --> 00:19:09,260 However , both china and Russia have 461 00:19:09,430 --> 00:19:12,420 invested significant resources in 462 00:19:12,420 --> 00:19:14,309 improving their submarine hunting 463 00:19:14,309 --> 00:19:17,160 capabilities and someone say that the 464 00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:19,160 submarine forest remains relatively 465 00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:22,000 brittle meaning that since there's such 466 00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:24,360 a large percentage of available weapons 467 00:19:24,360 --> 00:19:27,100 housed in a single platform that tends 468 00:19:27,100 --> 00:19:30,930 to provide a small number of nodes that 469 00:19:30,930 --> 00:19:33,970 can be affected to great effect . Um So 470 00:19:33,970 --> 00:19:35,970 how do these factors play into your 471 00:19:35,970 --> 00:19:38,192 thinking about the requirements for our 472 00:19:38,192 --> 00:19:41,400 SSB enforce ? Well , I'll start with um 473 00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:43,880 and this is true of any stealth 474 00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:46,047 platform , although the submarines are 475 00:19:46,047 --> 00:19:48,380 probably the best example is that the , 476 00:19:48,390 --> 00:19:51,690 when we say the submarine leg is 477 00:19:51,690 --> 00:19:54,900 survivable , that's not based on just 478 00:19:54,910 --> 00:19:57,077 individual platforms . Survivability , 479 00:19:57,077 --> 00:19:59,530 Right ? Submarines are , are very 480 00:19:59,540 --> 00:20:02,150 difficult to find . There's always a 481 00:20:02,150 --> 00:20:04,430 classic Haider finder competition going 482 00:20:04,430 --> 00:20:06,374 on , it's no different than in any 483 00:20:06,374 --> 00:20:08,263 other domain and they told me I'm 484 00:20:08,263 --> 00:20:10,486 trying to be very serious and formal if 485 00:20:10,486 --> 00:20:12,319 they don't have romulan cloaking 486 00:20:12,319 --> 00:20:14,430 devices on them , right . They're not 487 00:20:14,430 --> 00:20:16,486 impossible to find . They have to be 488 00:20:16,486 --> 00:20:18,430 operated correctly , just like any 489 00:20:18,430 --> 00:20:20,500 spell platform . But you derive that 490 00:20:20,500 --> 00:20:22,720 from by force Survivability , right . 491 00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:25,380 It is the combination of the number and 492 00:20:25,380 --> 00:20:27,491 location and the way you're operating 493 00:20:27,491 --> 00:20:30,270 the force is what gives you that very 494 00:20:30,270 --> 00:20:33,170 high confidence uh that that that leg 495 00:20:33,170 --> 00:20:35,850 is going to survive . So I'm very 496 00:20:35,850 --> 00:20:37,961 confident that the navy has taken the 497 00:20:37,961 --> 00:20:40,750 right steps to ensure that we're able 498 00:20:40,750 --> 00:20:43,320 to maintain for survivability general . 499 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:45,380 You are quite correct . I think it's 500 00:20:45,380 --> 00:20:47,560 important that when we set the 501 00:20:48,140 --> 00:20:50,362 requirements , particularly the numbers 502 00:20:50,362 --> 00:20:52,529 for the platforms that we were talking 503 00:20:52,529 --> 00:20:54,473 about that was based on a specific 504 00:20:54,473 --> 00:20:56,910 threat . If you change the threat on me 505 00:20:56,910 --> 00:20:59,160 then we have to come back and then 506 00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:02,020 rethink what the right number is and 507 00:21:02,020 --> 00:21:04,400 that's that's going up . I think it's 508 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:06,233 also important to understand the 509 00:21:06,233 --> 00:21:08,567 submarines are just the easiest example . 510 00:21:08,567 --> 00:21:10,567 This is true in all the rest of the 511 00:21:10,567 --> 00:21:12,678 legs Going down . You start to , it's 512 00:21:12,678 --> 00:21:14,789 not just what the threat looks like , 513 00:21:14,789 --> 00:21:17,011 but it's what it takes to maintain that 514 00:21:17,011 --> 00:21:19,122 that attribute of the leg , there's a 515 00:21:19,122 --> 00:21:21,178 minimum number of submarines you can 516 00:21:21,178 --> 00:21:23,233 get to that . It doesn't matter what 517 00:21:23,233 --> 00:21:25,500 their um a number of weapons or 518 00:21:25,500 --> 00:21:27,611 missiles on them . It's the number of 519 00:21:27,611 --> 00:21:29,722 platforms . I have to have to make my 520 00:21:29,722 --> 00:21:31,333 statement remain true on for 521 00:21:31,333 --> 00:21:34,580 survivability . Um but that is why the 522 00:21:34,590 --> 00:21:36,930 Navy and intercom will say right at 523 00:21:36,930 --> 00:21:39,130 least 12 , we need to see what the 524 00:21:39,140 --> 00:21:42,770 threat looks like . Well let's turn to 525 00:21:42,770 --> 00:21:44,881 the final leg of the triad , although 526 00:21:44,881 --> 00:21:47,100 you've already mentioned it . Um and 527 00:21:47,100 --> 00:21:50,000 that's your breathing segment Until the 528 00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:52,460 first B- 21 has become operationally 529 00:21:52,460 --> 00:21:55,030 available . Um the current airborne leg 530 00:21:55,030 --> 00:21:57,640 is dependent on fewer than 100 b 52 s 531 00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:00,010 by the way , the youngest being 58 532 00:22:00,020 --> 00:22:03,450 years old . Uh and the B-2 aircraft of 533 00:22:03,450 --> 00:22:07,160 which we only have 20 that are capable 534 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:09,550 of penetrating modern air defenses . So 535 00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:11,929 I think I know the answer to this 536 00:22:11,929 --> 00:22:14,040 question , but how important is it to 537 00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:16,096 keep this leg operationally viable ? 538 00:22:16,096 --> 00:22:17,873 Well , it is , it is absolutely 539 00:22:17,873 --> 00:22:19,910 important and and because of the 540 00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:22,740 signaling flexibility that you see in 541 00:22:22,740 --> 00:22:25,050 the air leg , you get an almost daily 542 00:22:25,050 --> 00:22:28,200 demonstration right of what the air leg 543 00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:30,790 can do for you . I would point back to 544 00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:32,720 the way we're executing and talk 545 00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:34,720 General Ray about this because he's 546 00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:36,664 responsible for it . The way we're 547 00:22:36,664 --> 00:22:38,831 executing a bomber task force missions 548 00:22:38,831 --> 00:22:41,040 is probably the iconic example of what 549 00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:44,260 dynamic force employment looks like and 550 00:22:44,260 --> 00:22:47,360 I really gotta . And so I am proud and 551 00:22:47,360 --> 00:22:49,582 thankful for the effort , the air force 552 00:22:49,582 --> 00:22:51,749 is going through to sustain this leg , 553 00:22:51,749 --> 00:22:54,082 right ? I've had sorties now and B 52 S . 554 00:22:54,082 --> 00:22:56,370 B Tuesday , I just threw a KC 10 to hit 555 00:22:56,370 --> 00:22:58,259 the first A are for a B . T . F . 556 00:22:58,259 --> 00:23:00,426 Mission . So the professionalism , the 557 00:23:00,426 --> 00:23:02,426 commitment of the service , they're 558 00:23:02,426 --> 00:23:04,426 doing the right things to make sure 559 00:23:04,426 --> 00:23:07,090 that those um platforms make it to 560 00:23:07,090 --> 00:23:09,820 their recapitalization points . Um but 561 00:23:09,820 --> 00:23:13,720 and I need that . Oh , very good . Um I 562 00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:15,887 was gonna ask you if they gave you the 563 00:23:15,887 --> 00:23:18,109 opportunity when you're flying a B52 to 564 00:23:18,109 --> 00:23:20,220 attempt to refuel it because I've had 565 00:23:20,220 --> 00:23:22,553 the good fortune of flying uh the B one , 566 00:23:22,553 --> 00:23:25,500 the B two and the B 52 refueling each 567 00:23:25,500 --> 00:23:27,850 of them . And that's a bear trying to , 568 00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,590 Trying to refuel behind that tanker and 569 00:23:30,590 --> 00:23:33,100 a B 52 Mr later , I'll tell you , I 570 00:23:33,100 --> 00:23:35,100 just tried to do a heading change . 571 00:23:35,100 --> 00:23:38,680 That's a I did turn me over in the B 572 00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:42,170 two stem on the boom in the stem 573 00:23:42,180 --> 00:23:44,820 and six seconds . Um That's all I 574 00:23:44,820 --> 00:23:48,170 lasted , right . It was much 575 00:23:48,170 --> 00:23:50,480 respect to the airmen that know how to 576 00:23:50,490 --> 00:23:53,760 do that . Um Admiral , you've referred 577 00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:57,340 to uh strap calm as the parent of space 578 00:23:57,340 --> 00:24:00,770 com , which it is . How is that process 579 00:24:00,770 --> 00:24:03,030 of transitioning responsibilities and 580 00:24:03,030 --> 00:24:06,320 the personnel over to uh space com gone ? 581 00:24:06,330 --> 00:24:08,600 What's worked well and what remains to 582 00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:11,100 be done and how do you envision the two 583 00:24:11,110 --> 00:24:13,166 unified commands working together in 584 00:24:13,166 --> 00:24:16,290 the future ? Hey , sir ? Um It just , 585 00:24:16,300 --> 00:24:18,467 it probably just couldn't be going any 586 00:24:18,467 --> 00:24:20,633 better . General Raymond was here just 587 00:24:20,633 --> 00:24:22,578 yesterday . Uh and in fact we were 588 00:24:22,578 --> 00:24:24,689 having the first stratcom Space . Com 589 00:24:24,689 --> 00:24:26,460 warfighter talks so I probably 590 00:24:26,460 --> 00:24:28,516 shouldn't characterize it anymore as 591 00:24:28,516 --> 00:24:30,870 the proud parent . It's more you just , 592 00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:34,840 you just went to visit um the family 593 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:37,360 business that you had turned over to 594 00:24:37,370 --> 00:24:39,537 one of your kids , right ? So they are 595 00:24:39,537 --> 00:24:41,950 up fully operational . You know , we 596 00:24:41,950 --> 00:24:44,330 have a pure relationship now , I think 597 00:24:44,330 --> 00:24:47,470 that's a key piece . Um We're still 598 00:24:47,470 --> 00:24:49,637 supporting them in a couple of areas , 599 00:24:49,637 --> 00:24:51,637 you know the bureaucracy has a long 600 00:24:51,637 --> 00:24:53,803 tail in some cases . Um but we see the 601 00:24:53,803 --> 00:24:55,803 world the same way . I would really 602 00:24:55,803 --> 00:24:58,830 compliment General Raymond in Spaceman 603 00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:01,010 for some very good work in terms of 604 00:25:01,010 --> 00:25:04,030 thinking about architecture strategies . 605 00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:07,330 We had a good back and forth , a number 606 00:25:07,330 --> 00:25:09,500 of things that they're doing in a in a 607 00:25:09,500 --> 00:25:11,556 space architecture I think have very 608 00:25:11,556 --> 00:25:13,722 direct applicability to the future N . 609 00:25:13,722 --> 00:25:15,500 C . Three architecture that I'm 610 00:25:15,500 --> 00:25:18,000 responsible for in uh my Nuclear 611 00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:20,167 Enterprise or N . C . Three Enterprise 612 00:25:20,167 --> 00:25:23,660 Center hat uh and so uh that it was 613 00:25:23,660 --> 00:25:27,320 a very good meeting and that idea that 614 00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:29,820 that we are so closely coupled is 615 00:25:29,820 --> 00:25:32,480 something that we share with all of the 616 00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:34,536 other combatant commands , right ? I 617 00:25:34,536 --> 00:25:36,647 can go through and give you a similar 618 00:25:36,647 --> 00:25:38,702 story with every other one of them . 619 00:25:38,702 --> 00:25:40,869 And that's a key thing that we have to 620 00:25:40,869 --> 00:25:42,869 do in the future in terms of global 621 00:25:42,869 --> 00:25:45,036 integration . The ability for us as 11 622 00:25:45,036 --> 00:25:47,258 combatant commands under the leadership 623 00:25:47,258 --> 00:25:49,313 of the chairman and the secretary to 624 00:25:49,313 --> 00:25:51,610 have a shared understanding right of 625 00:25:51,610 --> 00:25:54,090 what the nation expects us to do and 626 00:25:54,090 --> 00:25:56,910 then globally integrating fires . Ops 627 00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:58,753 messaging , integrated strategic 628 00:25:58,753 --> 00:26:01,130 deterrence planning so that we all 629 00:26:01,130 --> 00:26:03,290 function as one that's going to be a 630 00:26:03,300 --> 00:26:06,650 key advantage that we need to see is 631 00:26:06,650 --> 00:26:10,460 moving into the future . Outstanding . 632 00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:13,690 Um , let's turn to the subject of arms 633 00:26:13,690 --> 00:26:17,290 race dynamics . Just as you 634 00:26:17,670 --> 00:26:20,540 summarized Russia and china currently 635 00:26:20,540 --> 00:26:23,770 modernizing their nuclear forces uh in 636 00:26:23,770 --> 00:26:25,770 the United States is in the initial 637 00:26:25,770 --> 00:26:27,659 stages of a long deferred nuclear 638 00:26:27,659 --> 00:26:30,200 modernization program beyond the price 639 00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:32,750 tag . Critics of the nuclear 640 00:26:32,750 --> 00:26:35,550 modernization effort claim that the US 641 00:26:35,550 --> 00:26:38,740 is spurring a renewed nuclear arms race . 642 00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:40,642 How would you respond to those 643 00:26:40,642 --> 00:26:43,530 criticisms ? Sure . I'll tell you . Um , 644 00:26:43,700 --> 00:26:47,170 they we have been working to 645 00:26:47,180 --> 00:26:50,630 reignite a debate 646 00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:52,770 uh and better understanding this 647 00:26:52,780 --> 00:26:54,724 meeting is a great example of that 648 00:26:54,724 --> 00:26:57,050 about strategic deterrence . And part 649 00:26:57,050 --> 00:26:58,994 of that is a social media campaign 650 00:26:58,994 --> 00:27:02,350 where we're addressing uh this kind of 651 00:27:02,350 --> 00:27:04,570 pervasive myths that are out there and 652 00:27:04,570 --> 00:27:06,737 now we love the conversation , right ? 653 00:27:06,737 --> 00:27:10,620 We look very hard at every comment that 654 00:27:10,620 --> 00:27:13,140 we get back asking ourselves did we 655 00:27:13,140 --> 00:27:15,307 miss something , is there something in 656 00:27:15,307 --> 00:27:17,473 here that we need to seize on and take 657 00:27:17,473 --> 00:27:19,980 advantage of . But the guy just 658 00:27:19,980 --> 00:27:21,924 confessed , I don't understand the 659 00:27:21,924 --> 00:27:23,924 criticism that was starting an arms 660 00:27:23,924 --> 00:27:27,240 race . I just went through that that 15 661 00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:31,000 years ago Russia unilaterally starts to 662 00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:34,870 modernize her entire , Arsenal 663 00:27:34,870 --> 00:27:37,200 70% complete China is not too far 664 00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:40,050 behind our response to that at the time 665 00:27:40,340 --> 00:27:42,960 is to do nothing , right ? We don't do 666 00:27:42,970 --> 00:27:46,690 anything right . The no one has lowered 667 00:27:46,690 --> 00:27:48,746 the role of nuclear weapons in their 668 00:27:48,746 --> 00:27:50,912 strategy more than the United States . 669 00:27:50,912 --> 00:27:53,134 Having my staff check on this , I think 670 00:27:53,134 --> 00:27:54,880 we are the only nation ever do 671 00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:58,000 unilateral um nuclear reductions . I 672 00:27:58,000 --> 00:28:00,056 think you can go back in history and 673 00:28:00,056 --> 00:28:02,610 see where we did that . Um ask yourself 674 00:28:02,610 --> 00:28:05,440 what we got in return for them . Um we 675 00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:07,950 have extended these systems that B 50 676 00:28:07,950 --> 00:28:10,180 two's you're talking about 100 years , 677 00:28:10,180 --> 00:28:12,760 right ? We're gonna take Ohio's 678 00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:14,927 designed for 30 years . We're going to 679 00:28:14,927 --> 00:28:17,570 get them to 42 . A whole class going 680 00:28:17,570 --> 00:28:19,350 longer than we've ever had any 681 00:28:19,360 --> 00:28:22,670 individual submarine go . Um Minuteman 682 00:28:22,670 --> 00:28:24,730 was a 10 year lifetime missile we're 683 00:28:24,730 --> 00:28:27,020 going to take for 60 . And then at the 684 00:28:27,020 --> 00:28:29,940 last possible moment to avoid the 685 00:28:29,940 --> 00:28:32,710 beginnings of unilateral disarmament in 686 00:28:32,710 --> 00:28:34,654 the face of the greatest threat we 687 00:28:34,654 --> 00:28:37,250 faced in 30 years . I'm accused of 688 00:28:37,250 --> 00:28:39,480 starting an arms race . I just don't 689 00:28:39,480 --> 00:28:42,940 understand that . Well , said Admiral . 690 00:28:42,950 --> 00:28:46,500 Well said , um now with respect to 691 00:28:46,500 --> 00:28:48,667 allies and the nonproliferation , I've 692 00:28:48,667 --> 00:28:50,722 heard you say that the United States 693 00:28:50,722 --> 00:28:52,611 policy of extended deterrence and 694 00:28:52,611 --> 00:28:55,040 assurance has played a pivotal role in 695 00:28:55,050 --> 00:28:57,460 promoting non proliferation . Could you 696 00:28:57,460 --> 00:28:59,682 elaborate a bit on that point ? And how 697 00:28:59,682 --> 00:29:01,793 does our nuclear modernization factor 698 00:29:01,793 --> 00:29:04,690 into that equation ? Well , the bottom 699 00:29:04,690 --> 00:29:07,530 line is , and I am very proud of this 700 00:29:07,530 --> 00:29:09,530 nation and the decision makers that 701 00:29:09,530 --> 00:29:12,140 established that policy , uh I think 702 00:29:12,140 --> 00:29:13,640 that has done more for non 703 00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:15,862 proliferation than any other single act 704 00:29:15,870 --> 00:29:19,670 in history . I think it has been good 705 00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:23,430 for a free and open world . But to 706 00:29:23,430 --> 00:29:26,280 do that , you have to have capabilities 707 00:29:26,380 --> 00:29:29,150 such that you give your ally confidence 708 00:29:29,260 --> 00:29:31,520 that you're able to follow through on 709 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:33,464 the commitment . And again , we're 710 00:29:33,464 --> 00:29:35,480 going to get tested in ways that we 711 00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:37,900 haven't been tested before . And so 712 00:29:37,900 --> 00:29:40,470 absent these capabilities , it is going 713 00:29:40,470 --> 00:29:43,550 to be harder uh , to give the allies 714 00:29:43,550 --> 00:29:46,430 the confidence in us that we have the 715 00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:48,630 capability to follow through on the 716 00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:50,696 very valuable commitments that we've 717 00:29:50,696 --> 00:29:53,680 made . Um , one of the 718 00:29:53,690 --> 00:29:57,490 options that is sometimes discussed 719 00:29:57,490 --> 00:30:01,310 is this issue of a no first use policy . 720 00:30:01,740 --> 00:30:04,790 Um , I presume that you're not in favor 721 00:30:04,790 --> 00:30:06,910 of a no first use policy . But could 722 00:30:06,910 --> 00:30:09,840 you explain to our audience what impact 723 00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:11,620 such a policy would have on our 724 00:30:11,620 --> 00:30:15,330 commitments to our allies . So , um , 725 00:30:15,340 --> 00:30:18,180 my best military advice remains 726 00:30:18,180 --> 00:30:21,420 strongly that a we should not have a no 727 00:30:21,420 --> 00:30:23,660 first use policy . Uh , and there's 728 00:30:23,670 --> 00:30:27,320 many reasons for that uh , assurance 729 00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:29,460 to allies and others that we have 730 00:30:29,460 --> 00:30:31,571 extended that commitment to is at the 731 00:30:31,571 --> 00:30:34,050 top of the list . Right . Second is I 732 00:30:34,050 --> 00:30:36,100 just don't think it has much 733 00:30:36,110 --> 00:30:39,450 credibility . Um , I , the soviet union 734 00:30:39,450 --> 00:30:41,561 had a no first use policy and I don't 735 00:30:41,561 --> 00:30:43,728 think that the general amazed , Okay , 736 00:30:43,728 --> 00:30:45,900 we're we're good . Uh , and uh , if I 737 00:30:45,900 --> 00:30:48,067 could , but the problem with having me 738 00:30:48,067 --> 00:30:50,233 and I am , you know , a navy guy loved 739 00:30:50,233 --> 00:30:52,560 telling see stories , um , the , uh , 740 00:30:52,570 --> 00:30:54,403 if you go back far enough in our 741 00:30:54,403 --> 00:30:56,930 history , this nation used to have a 742 00:30:56,940 --> 00:30:59,170 policy that said , we would not execute 743 00:30:59,180 --> 00:31:01,810 unrestricted submarine warfare . If you 744 00:31:01,810 --> 00:31:03,710 go back in the early part of the 745 00:31:03,710 --> 00:31:05,990 century , unrestricted submarine 746 00:31:05,990 --> 00:31:09,220 warfare was held with it's not the same , 747 00:31:09,220 --> 00:31:11,560 but at the time it was considered 748 00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:15,400 barbaric that a civilized nation would 749 00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:17,456 consider doing that . And there were 750 00:31:17,456 --> 00:31:19,678 these very long debates between nations 751 00:31:19,678 --> 00:31:21,567 whether you should , you should , 752 00:31:21,567 --> 00:31:23,940 etcetera , and our policy for decades 753 00:31:23,950 --> 00:31:25,740 was that we would not execute 754 00:31:25,740 --> 00:31:28,430 unrestricted submarine warfare until 755 00:31:28,430 --> 00:31:30,597 that policy changed in an afternoon on 756 00:31:30,597 --> 00:31:32,486 december 7th 1941 . And in fact , 757 00:31:32,486 --> 00:31:34,319 there's a historical debate if a 758 00:31:34,319 --> 00:31:36,430 subordinate commander didn't do it on 759 00:31:36,430 --> 00:31:38,541 his own before the president told him 760 00:31:38,541 --> 00:31:40,486 to do , it's a question of daytime 761 00:31:40,486 --> 00:31:42,708 groups . And so I I think we have to be 762 00:31:42,708 --> 00:31:44,430 very humble uh in terms of the 763 00:31:44,430 --> 00:31:46,430 credibility of policies like that , 764 00:31:46,430 --> 00:31:50,280 particularly when um um so just be 765 00:31:50,280 --> 00:31:54,250 humble . Um speaking of 766 00:31:54,250 --> 00:31:57,050 limited use in different varying 767 00:31:57,050 --> 00:32:00,520 applications , Russia maintains a 768 00:32:00,530 --> 00:32:02,641 significant arsenal and small nuclear 769 00:32:02,641 --> 00:32:06,060 weapons . Um I know some people 770 00:32:06,060 --> 00:32:08,282 referring to tactical nuclear weapons . 771 00:32:08,282 --> 00:32:10,060 I just , I just there's nothing 772 00:32:10,060 --> 00:32:12,171 tactical about a nuclear weapon , but 773 00:32:12,171 --> 00:32:13,838 be that as it may , it's been 774 00:32:13,838 --> 00:32:15,838 postulated that Russia might pursue 775 00:32:15,838 --> 00:32:18,280 early and limited first use of nuclear 776 00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:21,210 weapons in a conflict in europe , to 777 00:32:21,220 --> 00:32:23,450 end it on terms favorable to Russia . 778 00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:25,818 This is an approach that's been 779 00:32:25,818 --> 00:32:27,984 described as escalate to deescalate er 780 00:32:28,050 --> 00:32:30,328 which a predecessor general heightened , 781 00:32:30,328 --> 00:32:32,439 referred to as escalate the wind . Um 782 00:32:32,439 --> 00:32:34,494 is that an accurate portrayal of how 783 00:32:34,494 --> 00:32:36,439 Russia envisions the role of small 784 00:32:36,439 --> 00:32:38,661 nuclear weapons in its nuclear strategy 785 00:32:38,661 --> 00:32:40,828 and doctrine . And what kind of impact 786 00:32:40,828 --> 00:32:42,994 does this have on our requirements for 787 00:32:42,994 --> 00:32:46,080 deterrence ? Well sir , one uh they 788 00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:48,120 certainly are capable of doing 789 00:32:48,120 --> 00:32:50,490 precisely the strategy that you just 790 00:32:50,490 --> 00:32:54,150 described right and uh that is a type 791 00:32:54,150 --> 00:32:57,670 of discontinuity or non linearity in 792 00:32:57,670 --> 00:33:01,190 terms of deterrence theory . I I agree 793 00:33:01,190 --> 00:33:03,357 with you by the way , there is no such 794 00:33:03,357 --> 00:33:05,720 thing as a non strategic use of a 795 00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:08,050 nuclear weapon . And in fact I think 796 00:33:08,050 --> 00:33:10,161 this distinction that we have between 797 00:33:10,161 --> 00:33:12,640 these are strategic and these are not 798 00:33:12,650 --> 00:33:16,190 is actually very artificial is at best 799 00:33:16,190 --> 00:33:18,357 dated and may have always been wrong . 800 00:33:18,357 --> 00:33:20,579 So I caution us from trying to put them 801 00:33:20,579 --> 00:33:22,468 in in these two buckets . I can't 802 00:33:22,468 --> 00:33:24,690 imagine that you would look up and go , 803 00:33:24,690 --> 00:33:27,023 oh that's a non strategic , that's okay . 804 00:33:27,023 --> 00:33:29,650 Um so we've got to be very humble about 805 00:33:29,650 --> 00:33:33,140 that . Uh my job is to make sure that 806 00:33:33,150 --> 00:33:35,470 given what they can do and any 807 00:33:35,470 --> 00:33:38,740 postulated use of this with the example 808 00:33:38,740 --> 00:33:40,851 we're talking about here being a very 809 00:33:40,851 --> 00:33:43,540 good one . How do I ensure in crisis ? 810 00:33:43,540 --> 00:33:46,530 Probably that the equation still holds 811 00:33:46,530 --> 00:33:48,970 that when they think about that , I can 812 00:33:48,970 --> 00:33:51,050 either deny the benefit or impose a 813 00:33:51,050 --> 00:33:53,920 cost credibly such that I deter the use 814 00:33:54,110 --> 00:33:56,166 think the nuclear posture review was 815 00:33:56,166 --> 00:33:58,277 wise in the supplemental capabilities 816 00:33:58,277 --> 00:34:00,443 that were added to the ones we already 817 00:34:00,443 --> 00:34:03,170 have ? I think it's important . Um the 818 00:34:03,170 --> 00:34:05,990 ones we have are very capable but they 819 00:34:05,990 --> 00:34:08,340 certainly didn't deter Russia from 820 00:34:08,340 --> 00:34:11,000 developing the very capability that 821 00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:13,111 you're talking about . Hence the need 822 00:34:13,111 --> 00:34:15,222 for a more comprehensive approach . I 823 00:34:15,222 --> 00:34:17,389 want to add on just one other point in 824 00:34:17,389 --> 00:34:20,480 terms of the the fact that they have 825 00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:23,180 several 1000 non treaty accountable 826 00:34:23,180 --> 00:34:26,360 weapons actually concerns me in terms 827 00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:29,840 of why do you have those ? Um I'm 828 00:34:29,850 --> 00:34:32,210 somewhat surprised sometimes that in 829 00:34:32,210 --> 00:34:34,650 our conversations there's not more 830 00:34:34,650 --> 00:34:37,440 about why do you have those things ? 831 00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:40,950 Right uh that that wasn't free . Um 832 00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:44,720 And uh my deputy commander , I I'm 833 00:34:44,720 --> 00:34:46,498 glad we're having the new start 834 00:34:46,498 --> 00:34:48,664 discussions . This is a place where we 835 00:34:48,664 --> 00:34:50,942 can get into that type of conversation . 836 00:34:50,942 --> 00:34:53,164 I applaud um both the United States and 837 00:34:53,164 --> 00:34:55,220 Russia or at least being able to sit 838 00:34:55,220 --> 00:34:58,050 down at the table um and let's discuss 839 00:34:58,050 --> 00:35:00,120 what we have to do to improve 840 00:35:00,130 --> 00:35:02,352 confidence , safety , security and head 841 00:35:02,352 --> 00:35:05,010 to a mutually beneficial world . I sure 842 00:35:05,010 --> 00:35:07,710 wish china would sit down a responsible 843 00:35:07,710 --> 00:35:10,810 power has those conversations . But 844 00:35:10,810 --> 00:35:12,921 that's so important to me that I have 845 00:35:12,921 --> 00:35:15,390 dedicated my deputy commander as a part 846 00:35:15,390 --> 00:35:17,970 of that team . Right ? So that I have 847 00:35:18,140 --> 00:35:20,090 Gerald bustier as a part of those 848 00:35:20,090 --> 00:35:22,300 conversations to go after . And and 849 00:35:22,300 --> 00:35:25,580 really bring that piece into um into 850 00:35:25,580 --> 00:35:28,520 the conversation of what is the purpose 851 00:35:28,520 --> 00:35:31,730 of those . Uh and how can we account 852 00:35:31,730 --> 00:35:34,750 for that . It's very insightful . Thank 853 00:35:34,750 --> 00:35:37,960 you . It's a bit of a follow up is the 854 00:35:37,970 --> 00:35:41,830 W . 76-2 low yield trident submarine 855 00:35:41,830 --> 00:35:43,774 warheads sufficient to counter the 856 00:35:43,774 --> 00:35:46,890 perception of an exploitable gap in U . 857 00:35:46,890 --> 00:35:49,057 S . Regional deterrence capabilities . 858 00:35:49,057 --> 00:35:51,168 And are there other options out there 859 00:35:51,168 --> 00:35:54,370 that you're considering ? Well sir it 860 00:35:54,380 --> 00:35:56,810 is a very welcome addition . It is 861 00:35:56,810 --> 00:35:58,921 doing exactly what it was designed to 862 00:35:58,921 --> 00:36:00,977 do but it's important to remember it 863 00:36:00,977 --> 00:36:03,143 already added into an already existing 864 00:36:03,143 --> 00:36:05,420 stack of capabilities . Right ? That is 865 00:36:05,420 --> 00:36:07,810 designed to also address that uh 866 00:36:07,820 --> 00:36:11,040 including low yield Malcolm the dual 867 00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:13,151 capable aircraft capabilities that we 868 00:36:13,151 --> 00:36:15,670 have . I need those to complement your 869 00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:19,080 W- 76 to use just a part of that um 870 00:36:19,090 --> 00:36:22,270 stack of capabilities . And then the 871 00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:24,740 NPR also wisely talked about the need 872 00:36:24,740 --> 00:36:26,796 for us sea launched cruise missile . 873 00:36:26,796 --> 00:36:28,796 Right and again that has utility in 874 00:36:28,796 --> 00:36:32,390 that area that I'm responsible for as 875 00:36:32,390 --> 00:36:34,820 well as a very good beginning to offset 876 00:36:34,820 --> 00:36:36,931 the numbers of non treaty accountable 877 00:36:36,931 --> 00:36:38,987 weapons and has great benefit in the 878 00:36:38,987 --> 00:36:42,480 assurance of our allies . Okay , one 879 00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:44,600 more sort of broad question before we 880 00:36:44,600 --> 00:36:47,250 open it up to our audience um in your 881 00:36:47,250 --> 00:36:49,220 view what are the most serious 882 00:36:49,220 --> 00:36:52,930 misunderstandings among nuclear critics 883 00:36:52,940 --> 00:36:55,760 out there ? Especially members of 884 00:36:55,770 --> 00:36:58,260 Congress general . I'm gonna answer 885 00:36:58,260 --> 00:37:00,427 that question but I if I could get two 886 00:37:00,427 --> 00:37:02,760 more minutes I want to talk about N . C . 887 00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:04,871 Three for a second as well . I have a 888 00:37:04,871 --> 00:37:07,880 bit of a touch of good news in that 889 00:37:07,880 --> 00:37:11,050 area . You know my my the biggest 890 00:37:11,050 --> 00:37:13,350 misconception I think and I will call 891 00:37:13,350 --> 00:37:15,350 it a misconception . It's almost an 892 00:37:15,350 --> 00:37:17,017 absence is , we never seem to 893 00:37:17,017 --> 00:37:19,128 acknowledge that there's a threat out 894 00:37:19,128 --> 00:37:21,294 there that most of these conversations 895 00:37:21,294 --> 00:37:23,406 are almost on this frictionless plane 896 00:37:23,406 --> 00:37:25,461 and we're only talking about us . Um 897 00:37:25,461 --> 00:37:27,350 when in fact everything that this 898 00:37:27,350 --> 00:37:29,350 nation does is in , in an effort to 899 00:37:29,350 --> 00:37:31,406 defend itself , it's in an effort to 900 00:37:31,406 --> 00:37:34,300 address um threats that we have out 901 00:37:34,300 --> 00:37:37,210 there . And the , and I'll tell you , I 902 00:37:37,210 --> 00:37:40,420 think a sign of that is um look , 903 00:37:40,430 --> 00:37:42,880 I'm , you know , an old cold war God , 904 00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:45,047 when I was younger , I actually done a 905 00:37:45,047 --> 00:37:46,880 duck and cover drill . Right . I 906 00:37:46,880 --> 00:37:48,713 suspect you have a piece of your 907 00:37:48,713 --> 00:37:50,824 audience that actually knows what I'm 908 00:37:50,824 --> 00:37:52,991 talking about . And then there's a ton 909 00:37:52,991 --> 00:37:55,213 of them that , that have no idea what I 910 00:37:55,213 --> 00:37:57,158 just said . Um I was in elementary 911 00:37:57,158 --> 00:37:59,269 school by the way , not high school , 912 00:37:59,269 --> 00:38:01,820 but the point being here is we Palpably 913 00:38:01,820 --> 00:38:04,430 could feel the threat back then . We 914 00:38:04,430 --> 00:38:06,597 knew it was something we had to defend 915 00:38:06,597 --> 00:38:08,763 ourselves against . And this is what I 916 00:38:08,763 --> 00:38:10,819 think is the great accomplishment of 917 00:38:10,819 --> 00:38:13,041 the United States . Not only did it not 918 00:38:13,041 --> 00:38:15,097 happen , right ? We have 70 years of 919 00:38:15,097 --> 00:38:18,240 nuclear non use . Um , we don't worry 920 00:38:18,240 --> 00:38:20,351 about it anymore . Right . The threat 921 00:38:20,351 --> 00:38:22,880 is still there . Right . My kids have 922 00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:25,850 not spent one moment worried about the 923 00:38:25,850 --> 00:38:28,140 fact that there could be a nuclear use , 924 00:38:28,620 --> 00:38:31,360 that's victory . That is victory and 925 00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:33,360 strategic deterrence , but not only 926 00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:36,080 prevented or deter it , but take it out 927 00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:38,560 of the american psyche . So I worry we 928 00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:41,080 forgot how we got here , right . That 929 00:38:41,080 --> 00:38:43,800 wasn't free . That required wise 930 00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:46,880 investments in the capabilities needed . 931 00:38:46,890 --> 00:38:49,770 That is hundreds of thousands of men 932 00:38:49,770 --> 00:38:51,510 and women who dedicated their 933 00:38:51,510 --> 00:38:54,830 professional lives in this mission . 934 00:38:54,840 --> 00:38:57,060 You're never gonna know their names , 935 00:38:57,060 --> 00:39:00,380 right ? Um but they took the fear out 936 00:39:00,390 --> 00:39:02,390 and and realizing that this was not 937 00:39:02,390 --> 00:39:04,557 free . I'm gonna , the future is going 938 00:39:04,557 --> 00:39:06,723 to require these capabilities . You're 939 00:39:06,723 --> 00:39:06,230 gonna have to have men and women who 940 00:39:06,230 --> 00:39:08,590 are also willing to go do that such 941 00:39:08,590 --> 00:39:10,910 that that we don't have to to live 942 00:39:10,910 --> 00:39:13,021 inside that world . That's my biggest 943 00:39:13,021 --> 00:39:15,670 fear . And the second thing I wanted to 944 00:39:15,670 --> 00:39:18,620 mention on n . c . three . Um because I 945 00:39:18,620 --> 00:39:20,750 am proud to say of course that the 946 00:39:20,760 --> 00:39:23,120 great leadership by the department 947 00:39:23,130 --> 00:39:24,574 Congress , you know , the 948 00:39:24,574 --> 00:39:26,519 recapitalization systems are fully 949 00:39:26,519 --> 00:39:29,540 funded including N . C . Three . Uh and 950 00:39:29,540 --> 00:39:31,540 this is the first time you may have 951 00:39:31,540 --> 00:39:33,762 heard us start talking about it . Yes , 952 00:39:33,762 --> 00:39:33,660 there's some cats and dogs inside the 953 00:39:33,660 --> 00:39:36,280 normal pentagon budget process , right 954 00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:39,040 that we have to get through . But the 955 00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:41,207 NC three . Enterprise center , right ? 956 00:39:41,207 --> 00:39:43,040 I think great leadership by then 957 00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:44,950 Secretary Mattis successors have 958 00:39:44,950 --> 00:39:48,230 followed it . We now have uh 959 00:39:48,240 --> 00:39:50,950 responsible commander me , our 960 00:39:50,960 --> 00:39:54,230 organization . We understand this in a 961 00:39:54,230 --> 00:39:56,510 way we haven't in a long time . It's 962 00:39:56,510 --> 00:39:58,677 always been good . Right ? I would not 963 00:39:58,677 --> 00:40:00,788 want to imply that we've ever had any 964 00:40:00,788 --> 00:40:02,899 issue in the confidence of NC three . 965 00:40:02,899 --> 00:40:05,121 But I can put it all down on a piece of 966 00:40:05,121 --> 00:40:07,343 paper . I can show you how it all inter 967 00:40:07,343 --> 00:40:09,232 relates . I can show you how it's 968 00:40:09,232 --> 00:40:11,343 funding statuses . I can show you the 969 00:40:11,343 --> 00:40:13,566 operational implications of that that's 970 00:40:13,566 --> 00:40:15,788 in the future . I can do the same thing 971 00:40:15,788 --> 00:40:17,954 day today and I'll stop because it's a 972 00:40:17,954 --> 00:40:20,010 much longer conversation but we have 973 00:40:20,010 --> 00:40:22,090 come a long way in just one year in 974 00:40:22,090 --> 00:40:25,730 terms of uh understanding and 975 00:40:25,730 --> 00:40:27,730 strengthening our nuclear community 976 00:40:27,730 --> 00:40:30,720 control capabilities . Well Admiral 977 00:40:30,730 --> 00:40:33,190 thanks very much for those really 978 00:40:33,190 --> 00:40:36,400 insightful comments on the subject of N . 979 00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:39,540 C . 31 of the concerns that Mitchell 980 00:40:39,540 --> 00:40:41,651 institute for a while . It's been the 981 00:40:41,651 --> 00:40:43,651 fact that as you mentioned early on 982 00:40:43,651 --> 00:40:45,651 people tend to focus on the weapons 983 00:40:45,651 --> 00:40:47,707 systems themselves uh and they don't 984 00:40:47,707 --> 00:40:49,929 think about the glue that puts that all 985 00:40:49,929 --> 00:40:53,420 together . Um So about a year ago um we 986 00:40:53,420 --> 00:40:56,010 put out a study on modernizing us 987 00:40:56,010 --> 00:40:57,566 nuclear command control and 988 00:40:57,566 --> 00:40:59,980 communications uh and I'll send your 989 00:40:59,980 --> 00:41:02,730 staff and copy afterwards . But just to 990 00:41:02,730 --> 00:41:06,200 highlight the points that you made . Uh 991 00:41:06,210 --> 00:41:08,432 Now obviously it's a difficult topic to 992 00:41:08,432 --> 00:41:10,250 follow because it's so highly 993 00:41:10,260 --> 00:41:12,460 classified but that's one of the 994 00:41:12,460 --> 00:41:14,516 reasons that we did it was to try to 995 00:41:14,516 --> 00:41:17,160 make people aware of the significance 996 00:41:17,610 --> 00:41:20,490 of it's not just the weapons themselves 997 00:41:20,490 --> 00:41:22,880 that need to be modernized But it's the 998 00:41:22,880 --> 00:41:25,490 command and control process to um you 999 00:41:25,490 --> 00:41:27,434 know there are a lot of people out 1000 00:41:27,434 --> 00:41:29,546 there that don't even know that there 1001 00:41:29,546 --> 00:41:31,657 is such a such a thing as an as an 8" 1002 00:41:31,657 --> 00:41:34,460 floppy disk . Um I think I don't know 1003 00:41:34,460 --> 00:41:36,682 whether all those are gone yet or not , 1004 00:41:36,682 --> 00:41:38,700 but it's something that needs to be 1005 00:41:38,700 --> 00:41:41,320 paid attention to . So again on behalf 1006 00:41:41,320 --> 00:41:43,431 of the Mitchell Institute , we really 1007 00:41:43,431 --> 00:41:45,487 wish you the very best in these ever 1008 00:41:45,487 --> 00:41:47,653 increasing challenges . And a reminder 1009 00:41:47,653 --> 00:41:49,598 to our listeners our next event is 1010 00:41:49,598 --> 00:41:51,860 gonna be with members of the Air Force 1011 00:41:51,860 --> 00:41:53,804 Warfighting Integration Capability 1012 00:41:53,804 --> 00:41:57,200 Group Um next Wednesday August five as 1013 00:41:57,200 --> 00:41:59,311 we take a deeper look at their recent 1014 00:41:59,311 --> 00:42:01,950 global futures report . Now we're gonna 1015 00:42:01,960 --> 00:42:04,140 open up the session to our audience . 1016 00:42:04,140 --> 00:42:06,570 Those of you who I have been on . 1017 00:42:06,570 --> 00:42:08,890 Please use the raise hand feature and 1018 00:42:08,890 --> 00:42:12,060 when I call on you please identify who 1019 00:42:12,060 --> 00:42:14,290 you are and your organization . So 1020 00:42:14,290 --> 00:42:17,620 let's start um with 1021 00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:21,030 Teresa Hitchings . Hi sir , this is 1022 00:42:21,030 --> 00:42:23,308 Theresa Hitchens from Breaking Defense . 1023 00:42:23,308 --> 00:42:25,210 Thank you for doing this . Um my 1024 00:42:25,210 --> 00:42:27,910 question is with regard to how stratcom 1025 00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:30,220 is integrating with the efforts to 1026 00:42:30,220 --> 00:42:33,290 create a joint all domain command and 1027 00:42:33,290 --> 00:42:35,900 control system . Given that the 1028 00:42:35,900 --> 00:42:37,860 networks that are used for N . C . 1029 00:42:37,860 --> 00:42:40,230 Three for example , but also for 1030 00:42:40,500 --> 00:42:42,970 providing commanders with Mr warne et 1031 00:42:42,980 --> 00:42:45,650 cetera tend to be enclosed , highly 1032 00:42:45,650 --> 00:42:49,430 classified networks and that makes it 1033 00:42:49,430 --> 00:42:52,430 difficult to integrate that information 1034 00:42:52,430 --> 00:42:56,210 with networks that provide tactical 1035 00:42:56,220 --> 00:42:59,010 um for example information to soldiers 1036 00:42:59,010 --> 00:43:01,121 on the ground and yet that's the goal 1037 00:43:01,121 --> 00:43:03,177 of Jazzy too . So I was wondering if 1038 00:43:03,177 --> 00:43:05,288 you could talk a little bit about how 1039 00:43:05,288 --> 00:43:07,700 strapped calm seas itself and those 1040 00:43:07,700 --> 00:43:10,130 networks being integrated with Jazzy 1041 00:43:10,130 --> 00:43:13,690 too . Thank you . Yes , ma'am . And uh , 1042 00:43:13,700 --> 00:43:17,680 so so one uh , and and the bottom 1043 00:43:17,680 --> 00:43:19,736 line is a high degree of integration 1044 00:43:19,736 --> 00:43:21,791 between jet C two and C three Next . 1045 00:43:21,791 --> 00:43:23,820 Not 100% right . The consequence of 1046 00:43:23,830 --> 00:43:25,941 failure in the NC three mission is so 1047 00:43:25,941 --> 00:43:28,720 high that it warrants its own dedicated 1048 00:43:28,720 --> 00:43:31,070 stack of capabilities to guard against 1049 00:43:31,070 --> 00:43:33,930 the example I like using is Most ships 1050 00:43:33,930 --> 00:43:36,710 in the Navy are multi mission , multi 1051 00:43:36,710 --> 00:43:38,840 role . The strategic deterrence is so 1052 00:43:38,840 --> 00:43:41,180 important . We dedicate 14 solely to 1053 00:43:41,180 --> 00:43:43,402 that function . Right ? You're going to 1054 00:43:43,402 --> 00:43:45,291 see a similar degree of overlap . 1055 00:43:45,291 --> 00:43:48,370 Strategic platforms are still platforms . 1056 00:43:48,380 --> 00:43:50,491 They're part of the joint force and I 1057 00:43:50,491 --> 00:43:54,100 need them integrated into the broader 1058 00:43:54,100 --> 00:43:55,989 departments , command and control 1059 00:43:55,989 --> 00:43:58,060 system . You will see us doing 1060 00:43:58,210 --> 00:44:00,321 conventional nuclear integration in a 1061 00:44:00,321 --> 00:44:02,432 way that we have never done before is 1062 00:44:02,432 --> 00:44:04,377 just what is required for us to do 1063 00:44:04,377 --> 00:44:06,599 complementary effects inside the battle 1064 00:44:06,599 --> 00:44:09,480 space . There are new ways to get after 1065 00:44:09,480 --> 00:44:11,369 the classification differences in 1066 00:44:11,369 --> 00:44:13,480 handling differences As opposed to 1067 00:44:13,480 --> 00:44:15,313 building out completely separate 1068 00:44:15,313 --> 00:44:17,369 circuits . So there's an operational 1069 00:44:17,369 --> 00:44:19,313 imperative to go do this . And the 1070 00:44:19,313 --> 00:44:21,536 second thing , it just makes sense from 1071 00:44:21,536 --> 00:44:24,560 a wise use of resources standpoint to 1072 00:44:24,560 --> 00:44:26,880 have a high degree of overlap between 1073 00:44:26,880 --> 00:44:29,720 the two . Just not 100 over . 1074 00:44:32,390 --> 00:44:34,446 Okay , thank you . How about Michael 1075 00:44:34,446 --> 00:44:38,020 Gordon ? Yes , Admiral Michael Gordon ? 1076 00:44:38,020 --> 00:44:40,076 From the Wall Street Journal , sir . 1077 00:44:40,076 --> 00:44:43,650 You spoke about the Russian 1078 00:44:43,650 --> 00:44:46,090 nuclear forces and their extensive 1079 00:44:46,100 --> 00:44:49,000 modernization efforts . Uh , the 1080 00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:52,470 question I have is um right now we have 1081 00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:56,310 um verification means 1082 00:44:56,690 --> 00:44:58,746 through on site inspection and other 1083 00:44:58,746 --> 00:45:01,320 provisions under New Start to keep tabs 1084 00:45:01,320 --> 00:45:04,410 on what the Russians are doing . Um , 1085 00:45:04,410 --> 00:45:07,320 but there is the prospect New Start may 1086 00:45:07,340 --> 00:45:10,610 expire in february and not be extended 1087 00:45:11,290 --> 00:45:13,012 and that there may be no other 1088 00:45:13,012 --> 00:45:15,012 agreement to take its place at that 1089 00:45:15,012 --> 00:45:18,000 juncture . Anyway , My question is not 1090 00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:20,111 about the politics of New Start , but 1091 00:45:20,111 --> 00:45:23,830 how important are these verification 1092 00:45:23,830 --> 00:45:27,100 and monitoring provisions for your 1093 00:45:27,100 --> 00:45:30,610 efforts to keep tabs on what the 1094 00:45:30,610 --> 00:45:33,370 Russians are doing and also to maintain 1095 00:45:33,370 --> 00:45:36,040 stability in the US Russian nuclear 1096 00:45:36,040 --> 00:45:39,520 relationship . Uh , so one 1097 00:45:39,520 --> 00:45:43,100 started in the end , any treaty between 1098 00:45:43,100 --> 00:45:44,822 two nations is fundamentally a 1099 00:45:44,822 --> 00:45:47,990 political agreement and so and so in 1100 00:45:47,990 --> 00:45:50,260 the end this is a Department of State 1101 00:45:50,260 --> 00:45:53,190 led effort . Um , I certainly support 1102 00:45:53,190 --> 00:45:54,968 any agreement that enhances the 1103 00:45:54,968 --> 00:45:57,023 security of this nation and it looks 1104 00:45:57,023 --> 00:45:59,430 like ample opportunity um to enhance 1105 00:45:59,430 --> 00:46:03,420 the security of both the US Russia in 1106 00:46:03,430 --> 00:46:06,680 china by this mechanism . Hey , those 1107 00:46:06,680 --> 00:46:08,791 verification mechanisms that you talk 1108 00:46:08,791 --> 00:46:10,902 about . Yes , they are very important 1109 00:46:10,902 --> 00:46:13,124 on their prized attribute . I would say 1110 00:46:13,124 --> 00:46:15,236 from my standpoint in terms of what's 1111 00:46:15,236 --> 00:46:17,402 in New Start , I'd be cautious , We're 1112 00:46:17,402 --> 00:46:19,569 only actually verifying less than half 1113 00:46:19,569 --> 00:46:21,736 of the total number of nuclear weapons 1114 00:46:21,736 --> 00:46:23,902 that they have , but we do not have an 1115 00:46:23,902 --> 00:46:25,958 equivalent verification mechanism on 1116 00:46:25,958 --> 00:46:28,630 the non treaty accountable weapons and 1117 00:46:28,630 --> 00:46:30,797 I think it is , we have to be cautious 1118 00:46:30,797 --> 00:46:33,010 not to just dismiss that . Um And so 1119 00:46:33,010 --> 00:46:35,010 it's not like we are operating in a 1120 00:46:35,010 --> 00:46:36,954 world where we have a thorough for 1121 00:46:36,954 --> 00:46:39,010 everything that they can threaten us 1122 00:46:39,010 --> 00:46:41,066 with verification mechanism but I do 1123 00:46:41,066 --> 00:46:43,232 prize that . I would like to see us go 1124 00:46:43,232 --> 00:46:46,620 have that more broadly . Uh and uh that 1125 00:46:46,620 --> 00:46:48,900 is a part of my advice that I I provide 1126 00:46:48,900 --> 00:46:52,090 to my department's leadership . Thank 1127 00:46:52,090 --> 00:46:54,500 you Amy McCullough . 1128 00:46:55,580 --> 00:46:57,802 Thank you sir . Amy McCullough with Air 1129 00:46:57,802 --> 00:47:00,470 Force magazine , you mentioned china's 1130 00:47:00,470 --> 00:47:03,910 growing capabilities and the Air Force 1131 00:47:03,910 --> 00:47:05,688 just recently put out an arctic 1132 00:47:05,688 --> 00:47:08,210 strategy other than icebreaker missions 1133 00:47:08,210 --> 00:47:10,099 in that region . I'm wondering if 1134 00:47:10,099 --> 00:47:12,560 you've seen any other type of flights 1135 00:47:12,560 --> 00:47:14,671 like bomb or flights or anything like 1136 00:47:14,671 --> 00:47:17,220 that where they're trying to exert 1137 00:47:17,220 --> 00:47:21,190 influence there , you know from memory 1138 00:47:21,200 --> 00:47:23,250 I can , I'm not sure you know where 1139 00:47:23,250 --> 00:47:25,361 there wasn't anything that completely 1140 00:47:25,361 --> 00:47:27,361 got my intention . That question is 1141 00:47:27,361 --> 00:47:29,570 better directed into opaque com . Um 1142 00:47:29,580 --> 00:47:31,913 and it's not like we don't talk to them . 1143 00:47:31,913 --> 00:47:35,350 Um but uh you're right , china has made 1144 00:47:35,350 --> 00:47:38,720 it clear that they intend to be an 1145 00:47:38,730 --> 00:47:41,840 arctic um nation and 1146 00:47:41,850 --> 00:47:44,410 whether I have seen it or not , I am 1147 00:47:44,410 --> 00:47:47,260 certainly watching for their 1148 00:47:47,260 --> 00:47:49,427 developments in that direction to make 1149 00:47:49,427 --> 00:47:51,649 sure that I properly factored them into 1150 00:47:51,649 --> 00:47:53,593 our strategic deterrence efforts . 1151 00:47:54,680 --> 00:47:57,800 Thank you sir . Bowen . Ballard 1152 00:48:09,670 --> 00:48:12,870 Bowen , I don't see you coming off your 1153 00:48:12,870 --> 00:48:14,290 mic . You need to 1154 00:48:16,670 --> 00:48:18,230 activate your mic please . 1155 00:48:22,470 --> 00:48:24,581 Okay , we'll come back to Bowen . How 1156 00:48:24,581 --> 00:48:25,637 about Pat tucker . 1157 00:48:32,070 --> 00:48:32,580 Mm hmm 1158 00:48:36,070 --> 00:48:37,780 pat , pat tucker you up . 1159 00:48:41,470 --> 00:48:43,526 Alright , well , we sound like there 1160 00:48:43,526 --> 00:48:45,748 are some issues with Mix . Let me go to 1161 00:48:45,748 --> 00:48:49,740 uh uh the chat room . Uh here's a 1162 00:48:49,750 --> 00:48:52,290 Pat tucker question for you . Are you 1163 00:48:52,290 --> 00:48:54,012 in discussion with D . O . D . 1164 00:48:54,012 --> 00:48:55,734 Leadership on delaying nuclear 1165 00:48:55,734 --> 00:48:57,570 modernization efforts due to the 1166 00:48:57,570 --> 00:48:59,830 potential budget constraints of 1167 00:48:59,830 --> 00:49:03,290 responding to the Covid 19 situation ? 1168 00:49:04,270 --> 00:49:07,570 The answer is no . Uh and in fact , uh 1169 00:49:07,580 --> 00:49:09,747 I think it's an important point for us 1170 00:49:09,747 --> 00:49:13,340 to consider is just because one threat 1171 00:49:13,340 --> 00:49:15,620 manifested itself didn't mean that any 1172 00:49:15,620 --> 00:49:18,280 of the others went away . Russia did 1173 00:49:18,280 --> 00:49:20,330 not give up a single nuclear weapon 1174 00:49:20,330 --> 00:49:22,840 because of COVID-19 China did not do 1175 00:49:22,840 --> 00:49:24,840 any . In fact , their their actions 1176 00:49:24,840 --> 00:49:26,951 have been exactly the opposite . So I 1177 00:49:26,951 --> 00:49:29,100 have a responsibility to defend us 1178 00:49:29,110 --> 00:49:31,420 irregardless of whether or not we have 1179 00:49:31,420 --> 00:49:35,380 a worldwide pandemic or not . And I 1180 00:49:35,380 --> 00:49:37,560 would offer is I don't think that 1181 00:49:37,570 --> 00:49:39,820 there's a choice that it's also a false 1182 00:49:39,820 --> 00:49:41,431 choice to say I can't afford 1183 00:49:41,431 --> 00:49:43,376 modernization because I have to do 1184 00:49:43,376 --> 00:49:47,030 Covid . Um this nation has um many 1185 00:49:47,030 --> 00:49:50,160 resources . We know our priorities , we 1186 00:49:50,160 --> 00:49:52,560 can afford survival uh where the 1187 00:49:52,570 --> 00:49:54,737 department is focused on assisting the 1188 00:49:54,737 --> 00:49:56,903 nation in this great challenge . We do 1189 00:49:56,903 --> 00:49:58,848 have to think our way through it . 1190 00:49:58,848 --> 00:50:01,014 There will be implications . Uh but we 1191 00:50:01,014 --> 00:50:03,181 still have to defend ourselves because 1192 00:50:03,181 --> 00:50:05,126 the threat is still there . Yeah . 1193 00:50:05,126 --> 00:50:08,070 Admiral . If I may um I like to remind 1194 00:50:08,070 --> 00:50:11,970 people that I know folks argue about 1195 00:50:11,980 --> 00:50:14,258 the balance between guns versus butter , 1196 00:50:14,258 --> 00:50:16,313 but if you go to the preamble of the 1197 00:50:16,313 --> 00:50:18,202 constitution and I dare say there 1198 00:50:18,202 --> 00:50:20,369 aren't too many people that will argue 1199 00:50:20,369 --> 00:50:22,591 with that , although there are some out 1200 00:50:22,591 --> 00:50:24,313 there , but it states that the 1201 00:50:24,313 --> 00:50:24,200 fundamental reason or one of the 1202 00:50:24,200 --> 00:50:26,340 fundamental reasons we stood up with 1203 00:50:26,340 --> 00:50:29,020 this this nation was to quote , provide 1204 00:50:29,020 --> 00:50:31,880 for the common defense comma 1205 00:50:32,700 --> 00:50:36,410 promote the general welfare , not the 1206 00:50:36,410 --> 00:50:39,490 other way around . Anyway , let's go 1207 00:50:39,490 --> 00:50:42,430 back . And to the point on that if I go 1208 00:50:42,430 --> 00:50:45,560 ahead is um so we we have a debate 1209 00:50:45,560 --> 00:50:48,800 sometimes over Covid 19 versus um 1210 00:50:48,810 --> 00:50:51,310 modernization . There's a cousin to 1211 00:50:51,310 --> 00:50:53,380 that inside the department , right ? 1212 00:50:53,390 --> 00:50:55,580 And I go back to the strategic 1213 00:50:55,580 --> 00:50:58,600 deterrent is foundational and we can't 1214 00:50:58,600 --> 00:51:01,830 take that for granted . And so if the 1215 00:51:01,830 --> 00:51:04,720 Foundation doesn't have what it needs , 1216 00:51:04,730 --> 00:51:07,000 then the viability of every other 1217 00:51:07,000 --> 00:51:08,889 capability of the department gets 1218 00:51:08,889 --> 00:51:11,010 called into question . Something as 1219 00:51:11,010 --> 00:51:12,954 simple as the other guy could just 1220 00:51:12,954 --> 00:51:15,390 escalate right past you . Uh and so 1221 00:51:15,460 --> 00:51:18,190 it's not only relative to Covid but 1222 00:51:18,260 --> 00:51:20,710 that we have really thought through 1223 00:51:20,710 --> 00:51:23,680 hard as a nation to put the minimum 1224 00:51:23,680 --> 00:51:26,430 amount of resources against our most 1225 00:51:26,430 --> 00:51:29,910 important mission . It's optimized any 1226 00:51:29,910 --> 00:51:32,077 other thing that we do to that carries 1227 00:51:32,077 --> 00:51:34,132 consequences in terms of assumptions 1228 00:51:34,132 --> 00:51:36,132 that we make across the rest of the 1229 00:51:36,132 --> 00:51:39,430 department and nation very good . 1230 00:51:39,430 --> 00:51:41,541 Here's one from paul Bernstein , from 1231 00:51:41,541 --> 00:51:43,790 the National Defense University , could 1232 00:51:43,790 --> 00:51:46,050 you please discuss the work the command 1233 00:51:46,050 --> 00:51:47,980 is doing with regional combatant 1234 00:51:47,980 --> 00:51:50,620 commands to help them prepare for the 1235 00:51:50,620 --> 00:51:53,660 possibility of limited nuclear attacks 1236 00:51:53,670 --> 00:51:56,850 in their areas of operations . So the 1237 00:51:56,850 --> 00:51:59,072 number of things that we're doing , but 1238 00:51:59,072 --> 00:52:01,183 the one that I'll probably start with 1239 00:52:01,183 --> 00:52:03,406 here is is that um we have initiated in 1240 00:52:03,406 --> 00:52:05,680 the last six months a new type of 1241 00:52:05,680 --> 00:52:07,690 analysis called risk of strategic 1242 00:52:07,690 --> 00:52:10,930 deterrence failure . Uh and so we are 1243 00:52:10,940 --> 00:52:13,530 taking pieces of what's been inside 1244 00:52:13,540 --> 00:52:15,640 stratcom and the Joint force more 1245 00:52:15,640 --> 00:52:17,584 broadly , that's where these other 1246 00:52:17,584 --> 00:52:19,807 combatant commands come in . So then on 1247 00:52:19,807 --> 00:52:22,510 a daily basis we are coming up with a 1248 00:52:22,510 --> 00:52:24,700 formal estimate of the risk that 1249 00:52:24,700 --> 00:52:27,460 deterrence is gonna fail . So I 1250 00:52:27,460 --> 00:52:29,940 acknowledge this is an analytic process 1251 00:52:29,940 --> 00:52:31,718 getting after something that is 1252 00:52:31,718 --> 00:52:33,930 fundamentally subjective . But the 1253 00:52:33,930 --> 00:52:37,010 assertion here is this risk carries so 1254 00:52:37,010 --> 00:52:39,490 much consequence that I need to be able 1255 00:52:39,490 --> 00:52:41,546 to describe to the secretary and the 1256 00:52:41,546 --> 00:52:44,450 chairman at all times under all 1257 00:52:44,450 --> 00:52:47,700 conditions what risk we're taking with 1258 00:52:47,700 --> 00:52:49,867 regard to the deterrence failing . And 1259 00:52:49,867 --> 00:52:51,867 then inside that nuclear deterrence 1260 00:52:51,867 --> 00:52:53,978 failing , that's a key way that we're 1261 00:52:53,978 --> 00:52:56,200 working with . Not only the regionals , 1262 00:52:56,200 --> 00:52:58,670 a big chunk of that analysis requires 1263 00:52:58,670 --> 00:53:00,781 you to understand what's happening in 1264 00:53:00,781 --> 00:53:02,948 space , what's happening in cyberspace 1265 00:53:02,948 --> 00:53:05,114 in some other areas . And we have some 1266 00:53:05,114 --> 00:53:07,170 great formal mechanisms with all the 1267 00:53:07,170 --> 00:53:09,840 combatant commands to pull in what they 1268 00:53:09,840 --> 00:53:12,130 see and what they're doing , put it 1269 00:53:12,130 --> 00:53:14,750 into my best possible emulation of the 1270 00:53:14,760 --> 00:53:17,370 other guys decision calculus and then 1271 00:53:17,370 --> 00:53:19,390 be able to provide the department . 1272 00:53:19,400 --> 00:53:21,567 Alright , here's where we sit , here's 1273 00:53:21,567 --> 00:53:23,344 the risk , here's the margin is 1274 00:53:23,344 --> 00:53:25,511 currently low I think you would expect 1275 00:53:25,511 --> 00:53:27,733 that . Um but we're ready to go do that 1276 00:53:27,733 --> 00:53:29,789 in crisis . We're looking at it long 1277 00:53:29,789 --> 00:53:31,733 term , really focusing ourselves . 1278 00:53:31,733 --> 00:53:33,900 Given the consequential nature of what 1279 00:53:33,900 --> 00:53:37,040 we're talking about . Here's that 1280 00:53:37,040 --> 00:53:39,850 question from Bowen Ballard . Uh Would 1281 00:53:39,850 --> 00:53:42,072 you please give a current update on the 1282 00:53:42,072 --> 00:53:45,540 status of H . F . Availability in the 1283 00:53:45,540 --> 00:53:48,990 event of satellite denial ? The 1284 00:53:49,000 --> 00:53:52,440 one is that it has an early conclusion 1285 00:53:52,440 --> 00:53:55,340 that we have come to us when we think 1286 00:53:55,340 --> 00:53:58,030 about what N . C . Three next is gonna 1287 00:53:58,030 --> 00:54:00,252 look like . In fact it's probably worth 1288 00:54:00,252 --> 00:54:03,830 it a moment . Here is the difference 1289 00:54:03,830 --> 00:54:06,010 between N . C . Three Beyond what you 1290 00:54:06,010 --> 00:54:08,232 just talked about . So in terms of it's 1291 00:54:08,232 --> 00:54:10,550 very hard to visualize like it's 204 1292 00:54:10,550 --> 00:54:12,420 systems that all have to operate 1293 00:54:12,420 --> 00:54:14,476 together to go accomplish this . You 1294 00:54:14,476 --> 00:54:16,698 know , we talked about recapitalization 1295 00:54:16,698 --> 00:54:18,753 the triad . That's actually a pretty 1296 00:54:18,753 --> 00:54:20,531 straightforward thing to visual 1297 00:54:20,531 --> 00:54:22,698 actually have boomers bombers , cruise 1298 00:54:22,698 --> 00:54:24,809 missiles , intercontinental ballistic 1299 00:54:24,809 --> 00:54:26,976 missiles and when you're done you have 1300 00:54:26,976 --> 00:54:26,660 boomers bombers , intercontinental and 1301 00:54:26,660 --> 00:54:28,827 some supplemental capabilities and you 1302 00:54:28,827 --> 00:54:30,938 will have them for a long time . They 1303 00:54:30,938 --> 00:54:32,938 get modernized N . C . Three is not 1304 00:54:32,938 --> 00:54:34,938 like that , right ? You will see it 1305 00:54:34,938 --> 00:54:37,560 iterate going into the future as we 1306 00:54:37,560 --> 00:54:39,770 improve it incrementally . That's the 1307 00:54:39,770 --> 00:54:41,937 way that technology works , that's the 1308 00:54:41,937 --> 00:54:44,730 way that threat evolves but we know now 1309 00:54:44,740 --> 00:54:48,420 that um H . F . Will be a component to 1310 00:54:48,420 --> 00:54:51,950 that . Um My HF availability is 1311 00:54:51,950 --> 00:54:54,250 good right now . I have just placed 1312 00:54:54,250 --> 00:54:56,870 renewed emphasis on basically everybody 1313 00:54:56,870 --> 00:54:59,700 comes up on every circuit all the time . 1314 00:54:59,700 --> 00:55:02,060 If you're a tactical situation permits 1315 00:55:02,240 --> 00:55:04,170 To make sure that we're taking 1316 00:55:04,170 --> 00:55:07,650 advantage of that . And I see a great 1317 00:55:07,650 --> 00:55:10,600 role for relatively small cost to bias 1318 00:55:10,610 --> 00:55:13,270 relatively less dependent on 1319 00:55:13,280 --> 00:55:15,640 infrastructure path that complements 1320 00:55:15,640 --> 00:55:17,807 the other work we're doing in NC three 1321 00:55:17,807 --> 00:55:20,390 quite well . Very good . Let's go see 1322 00:55:20,390 --> 00:55:22,390 if the mics are working again . How 1323 00:55:22,390 --> 00:55:26,080 about Sarah Serotta ? Hi , 1324 00:55:26,080 --> 00:55:28,247 thank you for doing this . Um I have a 1325 00:55:28,247 --> 00:55:30,840 question about the LRS . So program um 1326 00:55:30,850 --> 00:55:33,760 if the the urgency for this weapon is 1327 00:55:33,760 --> 00:55:37,290 so um strong , I'm curious if you think 1328 00:55:37,300 --> 00:55:40,820 that N N . S . A . Is taking too risky 1329 00:55:40,830 --> 00:55:44,570 of a schedule for the program uh 1330 00:55:44,580 --> 00:55:46,940 for delivering the production units . 1331 00:55:46,950 --> 00:55:50,220 Um and if you have concerns that that 1332 00:55:50,220 --> 00:55:53,030 could lead to delays for other warhead 1333 00:55:53,030 --> 00:55:55,030 modernization programs that they're 1334 00:55:55,030 --> 00:55:57,930 overseeing . And also um if you think 1335 00:55:57,930 --> 00:56:00,920 that the Air Force's decision to uh and 1336 00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:03,680 the competition early could lead to 1337 00:56:03,680 --> 00:56:05,960 risks in terms of the design for the 1338 00:56:05,970 --> 00:56:09,270 final LRS . So weapon . Okay , so a 1339 00:56:09,270 --> 00:56:11,520 couple of points . Right . Yes , there 1340 00:56:11,520 --> 00:56:13,900 is urgency in LRS . So just like there 1341 00:56:13,900 --> 00:56:16,590 is urgency in every other piece of the 1342 00:56:16,600 --> 00:56:18,711 triad , I wouldn't want to single out 1343 00:56:18,711 --> 00:56:22,580 LRS . So as uh being uh special I 1344 00:56:22,580 --> 00:56:25,230 need them all moving with urgency , 1345 00:56:25,230 --> 00:56:27,890 like like with uh what we're going to 1346 00:56:27,890 --> 00:56:30,112 have to have with L . S . Wrote to pace 1347 00:56:30,112 --> 00:56:32,380 the threat um look , we have a very 1348 00:56:32,380 --> 00:56:34,713 good working relationship with in N . S . 1349 00:56:34,713 --> 00:56:36,824 A . Via the Nuclear Weapons Council . 1350 00:56:36,824 --> 00:56:39,630 That has been very productive for both 1351 00:56:39,630 --> 00:56:41,408 departments in terms of staying 1352 00:56:41,408 --> 00:56:44,050 synchronized . Um The while the 1353 00:56:44,050 --> 00:56:45,772 fundamental responsibility for 1354 00:56:45,772 --> 00:56:47,994 assessing the risk that you just talked 1355 00:56:47,994 --> 00:56:50,217 about really belongs on the service and 1356 00:56:50,217 --> 00:56:52,161 acquisition side of the house . We 1357 00:56:52,161 --> 00:56:54,217 watch it very closely . No , I don't 1358 00:56:54,217 --> 00:56:56,328 have any concerns . Uh And in fact to 1359 00:56:56,328 --> 00:56:57,939 your broader question of the 1360 00:56:57,939 --> 00:56:59,883 acquisition strategy , I have full 1361 00:56:59,883 --> 00:57:02,630 confidence that the Air Force has a 1362 00:57:02,640 --> 00:57:04,473 good acquisition strategy . They 1363 00:57:04,473 --> 00:57:06,390 understand the risks uh and that 1364 00:57:06,390 --> 00:57:08,390 they're going to be able to deliver 1365 00:57:08,390 --> 00:57:12,100 that program on time . Okay . 1366 00:57:12,100 --> 00:57:15,900 Here's one from frank gallegos keeping 1367 00:57:15,900 --> 00:57:17,790 to the theme of the breathtaking 1368 00:57:17,790 --> 00:57:19,901 expansion of the threat from our near 1369 00:57:19,901 --> 00:57:22,950 peers . What could we an industry do to 1370 00:57:22,950 --> 00:57:25,510 help you the most ? Where would you 1371 00:57:25,510 --> 00:57:28,160 have us mass our intellectual resources 1372 00:57:28,530 --> 00:57:31,350 to help improve our strategic deterrent , 1373 00:57:32,630 --> 00:57:36,540 go faster . Whatever we have to do 1374 00:57:36,540 --> 00:57:39,740 to sit down together to go faster . 1375 00:57:40,130 --> 00:57:43,350 It is . And I think general 1376 00:57:43,350 --> 00:57:46,940 heighten has said this very eloquently 1377 00:57:46,940 --> 00:57:49,940 in a number of cases . Um This is when 1378 00:57:49,950 --> 00:57:53,100 operational risk gets back on par with 1379 00:57:53,100 --> 00:57:55,433 programmatic and technical risk . Right ? 1380 00:57:55,433 --> 00:57:57,800 You change the way that you run your 1381 00:57:57,800 --> 00:58:00,840 processes . Um You know , I love the 1382 00:58:00,840 --> 00:58:04,700 story about how we we go from Tuli 1383 00:58:04,700 --> 00:58:08,210 Greenland being a shack with a dirt 1384 00:58:08,210 --> 00:58:11,250 runway and we go in something like 1385 00:58:11,250 --> 00:58:14,790 three months to a 10,000 ft 1386 00:58:14,800 --> 00:58:18,070 reinforced concrete runway capable of 1387 00:58:18,070 --> 00:58:20,130 handling strategically loaded B 50 1388 00:58:20,130 --> 00:58:22,740 two's two hangars and accommodations 1389 00:58:22,740 --> 00:58:26,540 for 4000 airmen . Um All right . When 1390 00:58:26,540 --> 00:58:28,800 the nation had never built big runways 1391 00:58:28,800 --> 00:58:31,130 on tundra before . Right . Because the 1392 00:58:31,140 --> 00:58:33,290 operational risk of not having that 1393 00:58:33,300 --> 00:58:36,050 base outweigh the risks that we were 1394 00:58:36,050 --> 00:58:38,272 gonna take sort of programmatically And 1395 00:58:38,272 --> 00:58:40,494 technically , so , whatever the barrier 1396 00:58:40,494 --> 00:58:42,940 is , let's let's talk about that And 1397 00:58:42,940 --> 00:58:45,107 figure out what we're going to have to 1398 00:58:45,107 --> 00:58:47,329 go do . I'll point to going back to n . 1399 00:58:47,329 --> 00:58:48,940 c . three . Um , we're we're 1400 00:58:48,940 --> 00:58:51,490 establishing a reach center , right ? 1401 00:58:51,490 --> 00:58:53,712 And that is a building . But more so it 1402 00:58:53,712 --> 00:58:57,340 is a idea that to move faster in N . C . 1403 00:58:57,340 --> 00:58:59,396 Three , I have to break down some of 1404 00:58:59,396 --> 00:59:01,173 the barriers in terms of having 1405 00:59:01,173 --> 00:59:03,173 communication with private industry 1406 00:59:03,173 --> 00:59:05,062 with the government . Right ? The 1407 00:59:05,062 --> 00:59:07,173 process is something as simple as I'm 1408 00:59:07,173 --> 00:59:09,173 putting it outside the fence line , 1409 00:59:09,173 --> 00:59:11,340 just so that you don't even have to go 1410 00:59:11,340 --> 00:59:13,451 through the here's how you get on the 1411 00:59:13,451 --> 00:59:15,451 access list to get on the base type 1412 00:59:15,451 --> 00:59:17,451 stuff . So , so knocking down these 1413 00:59:17,451 --> 00:59:19,507 barriers while respecting , uh , you 1414 00:59:19,507 --> 00:59:21,396 know , security and uh government 1415 00:59:21,396 --> 00:59:23,507 obligations . That's where we need to 1416 00:59:23,507 --> 00:59:25,610 go uh if we're going to keep up with 1417 00:59:25,610 --> 00:59:29,610 this threat . Well , we've come 1418 00:59:29,610 --> 00:59:32,470 to the end of our time and thank you 1419 00:59:32,470 --> 00:59:34,880 again , Admiral , uh , for your 1420 00:59:34,880 --> 00:59:37,330 insightful and candid remarks and 1421 00:59:37,330 --> 00:59:40,140 thanks everyone for joining us today . 1422 00:59:40,520 --> 00:59:44,030 So I wish you all a wonderful and uh , 1423 00:59:44,040 --> 00:59:46,940 prosperous aerospace Power kind of day